USDCAD has more upside to track but 1.3700 is the key hurdle

USDCAD grabbed the bull’s attention ever since it crossed a two-month-old descending resistance line, now support around 1.3500. The upside bias also takes clues from the firmer RSI and MACD. However, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s October-November downside, near 1.3695, appears a tough nut to crack for buyers. Also acting as an upside filter is the monthly high of 1.3700, a break of which could quickly propel the quote towards November’s peak surrounding 1.3805. It’s worth noting that the Loonie pair’s run-up beyond 1.3805 could aim for October’s high near 1.3980, as well as the 1.4000 psychological magnet.

Meanwhile, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.3600 restricts the USDCAD pair’s short-term downside ahead of highlighting the 1.3500 support confluence including the resistance-turned-support line from October and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Even if the pair declines below 1.3500, a convergence of 100-SMA and 200-SMA at 1.3485 appears strong support.

Overall, USDCAD is likely to rise further but the 1.3700 resistance challenges the bulls.