EBITDAtiger

Bank charter approved, go long $SOFI

EBITDAtiger 업데이트됨   
NASDAQ:SOFI   SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has been successful in achieving a bank charter through the acquisition of California-based community lender Golden Pacific Bancorp.

It has been consolidating on the weekly chart for almost a whole year now. With the MACD curling up & histogram turning white heading towards green while the RSI is heading to test 50, I really like this set-up.

Some say it is priced in already. I highly doubt that. This stock could easily hit a $25 billion market cap (roughly the market cap of HBAN, which I say would be a reasonable comparison/achievable target since HBAN is a plain vanilla regional bank) with the combination of having a super app with the backbone of a bank charter. If it were to hit that market cap, SOFI would be trading at roughly $30.98. More than a double from here.

It seems to be the perfect time to go long. The combination of student loan management, IPO access, banking, crypto, stock trading, etc all in one app gives it a significant edge. If it can catch some momentum and pass $50, then it could be headed much higher.

An extremely bullish case would be SOFI reaching PYPL like numbers. SOFI's total assets increased from Sept 21 to Dec 21, while PYPL's decreased. On the day Dec 31st, 2021, PYPL had roughly 8.22x the assets of SOFI. Just throwing out a rough number, with net interest margins being added into the revenue basket for SOFI because of the bank charter and the potential to continue to increase its AUM and total assets then you could throw out a share price of $112.70 ($13.71 * 8.22).

Volume has been steadily increasing indicating increased interest and coverage. Oops. EBITDA somehow was from UCTT on the initial post and Tradingview won't let me edit it, no worries. Here is the chart with SOFI's EBITDA has shown some recent upward momentum.

This is just a theory, not financial advice, please do your own DD.

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