Long-Only Opening Range Breakout (ORB) with Pivot PointsIntraday Trading Strategy: Long-Only Opening Range Breakout (ORB) with Pivot Points
Background:
Opening Range Breakout (ORB) is a popular long-only trading strategy that capitalizes on the early morning volatility in financial markets. It's based on the idea that the initial price movements during the first few minutes or hours of the trading day can set the tone for the rest of the session. The strategy involves identifying a price range within which the asset trades during the opening period and then taking long positions when the price breaks out to the upside of this range.
Pivot Points are a widely used technical indicator in trading. They represent potential support and resistance levels based on the previous day's price action. Pivot points are calculated using the previous day's high, low, and close prices and can help traders identify key price levels for making trading decisions.
How to Use the Script:
Initialization: This script is written in Pine Script, a domain-specific language for trading strategies on the TradingView platform. To use this script, you need to have access to TradingView.
Apply the Script: You can do this by adding it to your favorites, then selecting the script in the indicators list under favorites or by searching for it by name under community scripts.
Customize Settings: The script allows you to customize various settings through the TradingView interface. These settings include:
Opening Session: You can set the time frame for the opening session.
Max Trades per Day: Specify the maximum number of long trades allowed per trading day.
Initial Stop Loss Type: Choose between using a percentage-based stop loss or the previous candles low for stop loss calculations.
Stop Loss Percentage: If you select the percentage-based stop loss, specify the percentage of the entry price for the stop loss.
Backtesting Start and End Time: Set the time frame for backtesting the strategy.
Strategy Signals:
The script will display pivot points in blue (R1, R2, R3, R4, R5) and half-pivot points in gray (R0.5, R1.5, R2.5, R3.5, R4.5) on your chart.
The green line represents the opening range.
The script generates long (buy) signals based on specific conditions:
---The open price is below the opening range high (h).
---The current high price is above the opening range high.
---Pivot point R1 is above the opening range high.
---It's a long-only strategy designed to capture upside breakouts.
---It also respects the maximum number of long trades per day.
The script manages long positions, calculates stop losses, and adjusts long positions according to the defined rules.
Trailing Stop Mechanism
The script incorporates a dynamic trailing stop mechanism designed to protect and maximize profits for long positions. Here's how it works:
1. Initialization:
The script allows you to choose between two types of initial stop loss:
---Percentage-based: This option sets the initial stop loss as a percentage of the entry price.
---Previous day's low: This option sets the initial stop loss at the previous day's low.
2. Setting the Initial Stop Loss (`sl_long0`):
The initial stop loss (`sl_long0`) is calculated based on the chosen method:
---If "Percentage" is selected, it calculates the stop loss as a percentage of the entry price.
---If "Previous Low" is selected, it sets the stop loss at the previous day's low.
3. Dynamic Trailing Stop (`trail_long`):
The script then monitors price movements and uses a dynamic trailing stop mechanism (`trail_long`) to adjust the stop loss level for long positions.
If the current high price rises above certain pivot point levels, the trailing stop is adjusted upwards to lock in profits.
The trailing stop levels are calculated based on pivot points (`r1`, `r2`, `r3`, etc.) and half-pivot points (`r0.5`, `r1.5`, `r2.5`, etc.).
The script checks if the high price surpasses these levels and, if so, updates the trailing stop accordingly.
This dynamic trailing stop allows traders to secure profits while giving the position room to potentially capture additional gains.
4. Final Stop Loss (`sl_long`):
The script calculates the final stop loss level (`sl_long`) based on the following logic:
---If no position is open (`pos == 0`), the stop loss is set to zero, indicating there is no active stop loss.
---If a position is open (`pos == 1`), the script calculates the maximum of the initial stop loss (`sl_long0`) and the dynamic trailing stop (`trail_long`).
---This ensures that the stop loss is always set to the more conservative of the two values to protect profits.
5. Plotting the Stop Loss:
The script plots the stop loss level on the chart using the `plot` function.
It will only display the stop loss level if there is an open position (`pos == 1`) and it's not a new trading day (`not newday`).
The stop loss level is shown in red on the chart.
By combining an initial stop loss with a dynamic trailing stop based on pivot points and half-pivot points, the script aims to provide a comprehensive risk management mechanism for long positions. This allows traders to lock in profits as the price moves in their favor while maintaining a safeguard against adverse price movements.
End of Day (EOD) Exit:
The script includes an "End of Day" (EOD) exit mechanism to automatically close any open positions at the end of the trading day. This feature is designed to manage and control positions when the trading day comes to a close. Here's how it works:
1. Initialization:
At the beginning of each trading day, the script identifies a new trading day using the `is_newbar('D')` condition.
When a new trading day begins, the `newday` variable becomes `true`, indicating the start of a new trading session.
2. Plotting the "End of Day" Signal:
The script includes a plot on the chart to visually represent the "End of Day" signal. This is done using the `plot` function.
The plot is labeled "DayEnd" and is displayed as a comment on the chart. It signifies the EOD point.
3. EOD Exit Condition:
When the script detects that a new trading day has started (`newday == true`), it triggers the EOD exit condition.
At this point, the script proceeds to close all open positions that may have been active during the trading day.
4. Closing Open Positions:
The `strategy.close_all` function is used to close all open positions when the EOD exit condition is met.
This function ensures that any remaining long positions are exited, regardless of their current profit or loss.
The function also includes an `alert_message`, which can be customized to send an alert or notification when positions are closed at EOD.
Purpose of EOD Exit
The "End of Day" exit mechanism serves several essential purposes in the trading strategy:
Risk Management: It helps manage risk by ensuring that positions are not left open overnight when markets can experience increased volatility.
Capital Preservation: Closing positions at EOD can help preserve trading capital by avoiding potential adverse overnight price movements.
Rule-Based Exit: The EOD exit is rule-based and automatic, ensuring that it is consistently applied without emotions or manual intervention.
Scalability: It allows the strategy to be applied to various markets and timeframes where EOD exits may be appropriate.
By incorporating an EOD exit mechanism, the script provides a comprehensive approach to managing positions, taking profits, and minimizing risk as each trading day concludes. This can be especially important in volatile markets like cryptocurrencies, where overnight price swings can be significant.
Backtesting: The script includes a backtesting feature that allows you to test the strategy's performance over historical data. Set the start and end times for backtesting to see how the long-only strategy would have performed in the past.
Trade Execution: If you choose to use this script for live trading, make sure you understand the risks involved. It's essential to set up proper risk management, including position sizing and stop loss orders.
Monitoring: Monitor the long-only strategy's performance over time and be prepared to make adjustments as market conditions change.
Disclaimer: Trading carries a risk of capital loss. This script is provided for educational purposes and as a starting point for your own long-only strategy development. Always do your own research and consider seeking advice from a qualified financial professional before making trading decisions.
지표 및 전략
Improved EMA & CDC Trailing Stop StrategyImproved EMA & CDC Trailing Stop Strategy
Objective: This strategy seeks to exploit potential trend reversals or continuations using Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and a trailing stop based on the Chande Dynamic Convergence Divergence (CDC) ATR method.
Components:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
60-period EMA (Blue Line): Faster-moving average that reacts more quickly to price changes.
90-period EMA (Red Line): Slower-moving average that provides a smoother indication of long-term price direction.
MACD Indicator:
Utilized to confirm the trend direction. When the MACD line is above its signal line, it may indicate a bullish trend. Conversely, when the MACD line is below its signal line, it may indicate a bearish trend.
CDC Trailing Stop ATR:
Used to set dynamic stop-loss levels that adjust with market volatility. This stop is based on the Average True Range (ATR) with a user-defined multiplier, providing the strategy with a flexible way to protect against adverse price movements.
Profit Targets:
Based on a multiple of the ATR, this sets an objective level at which to take profits, ensuring gains are captured while potentially still leaving room for further profitable movement.
Trading Rules:
Entry:
Long (Buy) Entry Conditions:
Price is above the 60-period EMA.
The 60-period EMA is above the 90-period EMA.
The MACD line is above its signal line.
Price is above the calculated CDC Trailing Stop ATR level.
Short (Sell) Entry Conditions:
Price is below the 60-period EMA.
The 60-period EMA is below the 90-period EMA.
The MACD line is below its signal line.
Price is below the calculated CDC Trailing Stop ATR level.
Exit:
Long (Buy) Exit Conditions:
Price reaches the predetermined profit target based on the ATR.
Price drops below the CDC Trailing Stop ATR level.
Short (Sell) Exit Conditions:
Price reaches the predetermined profit target based on the ATR.
Price rises above the CDC Trailing Stop ATR level.
Visualization:
The strategy displays the 60-period and 90-period EMAs on the chart.
The CDC Trailing Stop ATR levels for both long and short trades are also plotted for clarity.
The MACD Histogram is shown to visualize the difference between the MACD line and its signal line.
Recommendations: Before deploying this strategy, traders should backtest it across various historical data sets and market conditions. Regularly reviewing and potentially adjusting the strategy is recommended as market dynamics evolve.
OKX: MA CrossoverEXAMPLE Scripte from my stream , how to use OKX webhooks for create strategy on Pine with real\demo trading on your OKX account. This strategy only for test the functional forward orders to OKX. The backtest not included commisions and other.
OKX MA Crossover. This strategy generate JSONs for place orders on the exchange by alerts and webhooks.
In the script 2 function to generate entry and exit orders, and input parameters that needed for setup exchange.
Use it for test this stack and to write you own strategy for trade on the OKX Exchange.
AI SuperTrend - Strategy [presentTrading]
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The AI Supertrend Strategy is a unique hybrid approach that employs both traditional technical indicators and machine learning techniques. Unlike standard strategies that rely solely on traditional indicators or mathematical models, this strategy integrates the power of k-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), a machine learning algorithm, with the tried-and-true SuperTrend indicator. This blend aims to provide traders with more accurate, responsive, and context-aware trading signals.
*The KNN part is mainly referred from @Zeiierman.
BTCUSD 8hr performance
ETHUSD 8hr performance
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
SuperTrend Calculation
Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): A VWMA of the close price is calculated based on the user-defined length (len). This serves as the central line around which the upper and lower bands are calculated.
Average True Range (ATR): ATR is calculated over a period defined by len. It measures the market's volatility.
Upper and Lower Bands: The upper band is calculated as VWMA + (factor * ATR) and the lower band as VWMA - (factor * ATR). The factor is a user-defined multiplier that decides how wide the bands should be.
KNN Algorithm
Data Collection: An array (data) is populated with recent n SuperTrend values. Corresponding labels (labels) are determined by whether the weighted moving average price (price) is greater than the weighted moving average of the SuperTrend (sT).
Distance Calculation: The absolute distance between each data point and the current SuperTrend value is calculated.
Sorting & Weighting: The distances are sorted in ascending order, and the closest k points are selected. Each point is weighted by the inverse of its distance to the current point.
Classification: A weighted sum of the labels of the k closest points is calculated. If the sum is closer to 1, the trend is predicted as bullish; if closer to 0, bearish.
Signal Generation
Start of Trend: A new bullish trend (Start_TrendUp) is considered to have started if the current trend color is bullish and the previous was not bullish. Similarly for bearish trends (Start_TrendDn).
Trend Continuation: A bullish trend (TrendUp) is considered to be continuing if the direction is negative and the KNN prediction is 1. Similarly for bearish trends (TrendDn).
Trading Logic
Long Condition: If Start_TrendUp or TrendUp is true, a long position is entered.
Short Condition: If Start_TrendDn or TrendDn is true, a short position is entered.
Exit Condition: Dynamic trailing stops are used for exits. If the trend does not continue as indicated by the KNN prediction and SuperTrend direction, an exit signal is generated.
The synergy between SuperTrend and KNN aims to filter out noise and produce more reliable trading signals. While SuperTrend provides a broad sense of the market direction, KNN refines this by predicting short-term price movements, leading to a more nuanced trading strategy.
Local picture
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows traders to choose between taking only long positions, only short positions, or both. This is particularly useful for adapting to different market conditions.
█ Usage
ToolTips: Explains what each parameter does and how to adjust them.
Inputs: Customize values like the number of neighbors in KNN, ATR multiplier, and moving average type.
Plotting: Visual cues on the chart to indicate bullish or bearish trends.
Order Execution: Based on the generated signals, the strategy will execute buy/sell orders.
█ Default Settings
The default settings are selected to provide a balanced approach, but they can be modified for different trading styles and asset classes.
Initial Capital: $10,000
Default Quantity Type: 10% of equity
Commission: 0.1%
Slippage: 1
Currency: USD
By combining both machine learning and traditional technical analysis, this strategy offers a sophisticated and adaptive trading solution.
YinYang RSI Volume Trend StrategyThere are many strategies that use RSI or Volume but very few that take advantage of how useful and important the two of them combined are. This strategy uses the Highs and Lows with Volume and RSI weighted calculations on top of them. You may be wondering how much of an impact Volume and RSI can have on the prices; the answer is a lot and we will discuss those with plenty of examples below, but first…
How does this strategy work?
It’s simple really, when the purchase source crosses above the inner low band (red) it creates a Buy or Long. This long has a Trailing Stop Loss band (the outer low band that's also red) that can be adjusted in the Settings. The Stop Loss is based on a % of the inner low band’s price and by default it is 0.1% lower than the inner band’s price. This Stop Loss is not only a stop loss but it can also act as a Purchase Available location.
You can get back into a trade after a stop loss / take profit has been hit when your Reset Purchase Availability After condition has been met. This can either be at Stop Loss, Entry or None.
It is advised to allow it to reset in case the stop loss was a fake out but the call was right. Sometimes it may trigger stop loss multiple times in a row, but you don’t lose much on stop loss and you gain lots when the call is right.
The Take Profit location is the basis line (white). Take Profit occurs when the Exit Source (close, open, high, low or other) crosses the basis line and then on a different bar the Exit Source crosses back over the basis line. For example, if it was a Long and the bar’s Exit Source closed above the basis line, and then 2 bars later its Exit Source closed below the basis line, Take Profit would occur. You can disable Take Profit in Settings, but it is very useful as many times the price will cross the Basis and then correct back rather than making it all the way to the opposing zone.
Longs:
If for instance your Long doesn’t need to Take Profit and instead reaches the top zone, it will close the position when it crosses above the inner top line (green).
Please note you can change the Exit Source too which is what source (close, open, high, low) it uses to end the trades.
The Shorts work the same way as the Long but just opposite, they start when the purchase source crosses under the inner upper band (green).
Shorts:
Shorts take profit when it crosses under the basis line and then crosses back.
Shorts will Stop loss when their outer upper band (green) is crossed with the Exit Source.
Short trades are completed and closed when its Exit Source crosses under the inner low red band.
So, now that you understand how the strategy works, let’s discuss why this strategy works and how it is profitable.
First we will discuss Volume as we deem it plays a much bigger role overall and in our strategy:
As I’m sure many of you know, Volume plays a huge factor in how much something moves, but it also plays a role in the strength of the movement. For instance, let’s look at two scenarios:
Bitcoin’s price goes up $1000 in 1 Day but the Volume was only 10 million
Bitcoin’s price goes up $200 in 1 Day but the Volume was 40 million
If you were to only look at the price, you’d say #1 was more important because the price moved x5 the amount as #2, but once you factor in the volume, you know this is not true. The reason why Volume plays such a huge role in Price movement is because it shows there is a large Limit Order battle going on. It means that both Bears and Bulls believe that price is a good time to Buy and Sell. This creates a strong Support and Resistance price point in this location. If we look at scenario #2, when there is high volume, especially if it is drastically larger than the average volume Bitcoin was displaying recently, what can we decipher from this? Well, the biggest take away is that the Bull’s won the battle, and that likely when that happens we will see bullish movement continuing to happen as most of the Bears Limit Orders have been fulfilled. Whereas with #2, when large price movement happens and Bitcoin goes up $1000 with low volume what can we deduce? The main takeaway is that Bull’s pressured the price up with Market Orders where they purchased the best available price, also what this means is there were very few people who were wanting to sell. This generally dictates that Whale Limit orders for Sells/Shorts are much higher up and theres room for movement, but it also means there is likely a whale that is ready to dump and crash it back down.
You may be wondering, what did this example have to do with YinYang RSI Volume Trend Strategy? Well the reason we’ve discussed this is because we use Volume multiple times to apply multiplications in our calculations to add large weight to the price when there is lots of volume (this is applied both positively and negatively). For instance, if the price drops a little and there is high volume, our strategy will move its bounds MUCH lower than the price actually dropped, and if there was low volume but the price dropped A LOT, our strategy will only move its bounds a little. We believe this reflects higher levels of price accuracy than just price alone based on the examples described above.
Don’t believe us?
Here is with Volume NOT factored in (VWMA = SMA and we remove our Volume Filter calculation):
Which produced -$2880 Profit
Here is with our Volume factored in:
Which produced $553,000 (55.3%)
As you can see, we wen’t from $-2800 profit with volume not factored to $553,000 with volume factored. That's quite a big difference! (Please note previous success does not predict future success we are simply displaying the $ amounts as example).
Now how about RSI and why does it matter in this strategy?
As I’m sure most of you are aware, RSI is one of the leading indicators used in trading. For this reason we figured it would only make sense to incorporate it into our calculations. We fiddled with RSI for quite awhile and sometimes what logically seems to be the right way to use it isn’t. Now, because of this, our RSI calculation is a little odd, but basically what we’re doing is we calculate the RSI, then turn it into a percentage (between 0-1) that can easily be multiplied to the price point we need. The price point we use is the difference between our high purchase zone and our low purchase zone. This allows us to see how much price movement there is between zones. We multiply our zone size with our RSI multiplication and we get the amount we will add +/- to our basis line (white line). This officially creates the NEW high and low purchase zones that we are actually using and displaying in our trades.
If you found that confusing, here are some examples to why it is an important calculation for this strategy:
Before RSI factored in:
Which produced 27.8% Profit
After RSI factored in:
Which produced 553% Profit
As you can see, the RSI makes not only the purchase zones more accurate, but it also greatly increases the profit the strategy is able to make. It also helps ensure an relatively linear profit slope so you know it is reliable with its trades.
This strategy can work on pretty much anything, but you should tweak the values a bit for each pair you are trading it with for best results.
We hope you can find some use out of this simple but effective strategy, if you have any questions, comments or concerns please let us know.
HAPPY TRADING!
Nifty 50 5mint Strategy
The script defines a specific trading session based on user inputs. This session is specified by a time range (e.g., "1000-1510") and selected days of the week (e.g., Monday to Friday). This session definition is crucial for trading only during specific times.
Lookback and Breakout Conditions:
The script uses a lookback period and the highest high and lowest low values to determine potential breakout points. The lookback period is user-defined (default is 10 periods).
The script also uses Bollinger Bands (BB) to identify potential breakout conditions. Users can enable or disable BB crossover conditions. BB consists of an upper and lower band, with the basis.
Additionally, the script uses Dema (Double Exponential Moving Average) and VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) . Users can enable or disable this condition.
Buy and Sell Conditions:
Buy conditions are met when the close price exceeds the highest high within the specified lookback period, Bollinger Bands conditions are satisfied, Dema-VWAP conditions are met, and the script is within the defined trading session.
Sell conditions are met when the close price falls below the lowest low within the lookback period, Bollinger Bands conditions are satisfied, Dema-VWAP conditions are met, and the script is within the defined trading session.
When either condition is met, it triggers a "long" or "short" position entry.
Trailing Stop Loss (TSL):
Users can choose between fixed points ( SL by points ) or trailing stop (Profit Trail).
For fixed points, users specify the number of points for the stop loss. A fixed stop loss is set at a certain distance from the entry price if a position is opened.
For Profit Trail, users can enable or disable this feature. If enabled, the script uses a "trail factor" (lookback period) to determine when to adjust the stop loss.
If the price moves in the direction of the trade and reaches a certain level (determined by the trail factor), the stop loss is adjusted, trailing behind the price to lock in profits.
If the close price falls below a certain level (lowest low within the trail factor(lookback)), and a position is open, the "long" position is closed (strategy.close("long")).
If the close price exceeds a certain level (highest high within the specified trail factor(lookback)), and a position is open, the "short" position is closed (strategy.close("short")).
Positions are also closed if they are open outside of the defined trading session.
Background Color:
The script changes the background color of the chart to indicate buy (green) and sell (red) signals, making it visually clear when the strategy conditions are met.
In summary, this script implements a breakout trading strategy with various customizable conditions, including Bollinger Bands, Dema-VWAP crossovers, and session-specific rules. It also includes options for setting stop losses and trailing stop losses to manage risk and lock in profits. The "trail factor" helps adjust trailing stops dynamically based on recent price movements. Positions are closed under certain conditions to manage risk and ensure compliance with the defined trading session.
CE=Buy, CE_SL=stoploss_buy, tCsl=Trailing Stop_buy.
PE=sell, PE_SL= stoploss_sell, tpsl=Trailing Stop_sell.
Remember that trading involves inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Exercise caution, manage risk diligently, and consider the advice of financial experts when using this script or any trading strategy.
Bollinger Bands & Fibonacci StrategyThe Bollinger Bands & Fibonacci Strategy is a powerful technical analysis trading strategy designed to identify potential entry and exit points in financial markets. This strategy combines two widely used indicators, Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci retracement levels, to assist traders in making informed trading decisions.
Key Features:
Bollinger Bands: This strategy utilizes Bollinger Bands, a volatility-based indicator that consists of an upper band, a lower band, and a middle (basis) line. Bollinger Bands help traders visualize price volatility and potential reversal points.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Fibonacci retracement levels are essential tools for identifying potential support and resistance levels in price charts. This strategy incorporates Fibonacci retracement levels, including the 0% and 100% levels, to aid in pinpointing key price levels.
Long and Short Signals: The strategy generates long (buy) and short (sell) signals based on specific conditions derived from Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci levels. Long signals are generated when price crosses above the upper Bollinger Band and when the price is above the Fibonacci low level. Short signals are generated when price crosses below the lower Bollinger Band and when the price is below the Fibonacci high level.
Position Management: To prevent multiple concurrent positions of the same type (long or short), the strategy employs position management logic. It tracks open positions and ensures that only one position type is active at a time.
Exit Conditions: The strategy includes customizable exit conditions to manage and close open positions. Traders can fine-tune exit criteria to align with their risk management and profit-taking strategies.
User-Friendly: This strategy script is user-friendly and can be easily integrated into the TradingView platform, allowing traders to apply it to various financial instruments and timeframes.
Usage:
Traders and investors can apply the Bollinger Bands & Fibonacci Strategy to a wide range of financial markets, including stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. It can be adapted to different timeframes to suit various trading styles, from day trading to swing trading.
Disclaimer:
Trading carries inherent risks, and this strategy is no exception. It is essential to use proper risk management techniques, including stop-loss orders, and thoroughly backtest the strategy on historical data before implementing it in live trading.
The Bollinger Bands & Fibonacci Strategy is a valuable tool for technical traders seeking well-defined entry and exit points based on robust indicators. It can serve as a foundation for traders to build and customize their trading strategies according to their individual preferences and risk tolerance.
Feel free to customize this description to add any additional details or specifications unique to your strategy. When publishing your strategy on a trading platform like TradingView, a clear and informative description can help potential users understand and use your strategy effectively.
Stochastic StrategyThis strategy is designed to make trading decisions based on the Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) indicator with settings of (7,2,2). The strategy opens a long (buy) position when the Stoch indicator crosses above the 50 level from below. Conversely, it opens a short (sell) position when the Stoch indicator crosses below the 50 level from above. Additionally, when a long position is opened, any existing short position is closed, and vice versa.
Key Parameters:
Stochastic Oscillator Settings: Length = 7, SmoothK = 2, SmoothD = 2.
Overbought Level: 80.
Oversold Level: 20.
Strategy Description:
The Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) is calculated based on the closing price, high price, and low price with a period of 7, and both the %K and %D lines are smoothed with periods of 2.
When the %K line crosses above the oversold level (20), it generates a long (buy) signal.
When the %K line crosses below the overbought level (80), it generates a short (sell) signal.
The strategy visually marks long and short signals on the chart using upward and downward triangles, respectively.
The strategy automatically enters long or short positions when the respective conditions are met.
If a long position is opened, any existing short position is closed, and vice versa.
Please note that this is a basic example of a trading strategy and does not take into account all possible risk factors or optimizations. Before using this strategy in live trading, it's essential to thoroughly test and customize it to suit your specific needs, and carefully analyze the results. Trading carries risks, and it's important to use proper risk management techniques when implementing any trading strategy.
Hoffman Heiken BiasThis indicator uses a couple of different things including the Hoffman moving averages applied with heiken ashi bar data and some volatility to help determine when the bias of the market has shifted for the timeframe you are looking at.
Strategy Gaussian Anomaly DerivativeConcept behind this Strategy :
Considering a normal "buy/sell" situation, an asset would be bought in average at the median price following a Gaussian like concept. A higher or lower average trend would significate that the current perceived value is respectively higher or lower than the current median price, which mean that the buyers are evaluating the price underpriced or overpriced.
This behaviour would be even more relevent depending on its derivative evolution.
Therefore, this Strategy setup is based on this Gaussian like concept anomaly of average close positionning compare to high-low average derivative, such as the derivative of the following ploted basic signal : 1-(high+low)/(2*close).
This Strategy can actually be used like a trend change and continuation strength indicator aswell.
In the Setup Signal part :
You can define the filtering of the basis signal "1-(high+low)/(2*close)" on EMA or SMA as you wish.
You can define the corresponding period and the threathold as a mutiply of the average 1/3 of all time value of the basis signal.
You can define the SMA filtering period of the Derivative signal and the corresponding threathold on the same mutiply of the average 1/3 of all time value of the derivative.
In the Setup Strategy part :
You can set up your strategy assesment based on Long and/or Short. You can also define the considered period.
The most successful tuned strategies I did were based on the derivative indicator with periods on the basis signal and the derivative under 30, can be 1 to 3 of te derivative and 7 to 21 for the basis signal. The threathold depends on the asset volatility aswell, 1 is usually the most efficient but 0 to 10 can be relevent depending on the situation I met. You can find an example of tuning for this strategy based on Kering's case hereafter.
I hoping that you will enjoy using this Strategy, don't hesitate to comment, to question, to correct or complete it ! I would be very curious about similar famous approaches that would have already been made.
Thank to you !
Time Session Filter - MACD exampleTime Session Filter in TradingView Strategy: A Comprehensive Guide
Welcome to this educational TradingView blog where we dive deep into the functionality and utility of the time session filter in trading strategies. It's interesting to note that the time session filter is a commonly overlooked feature in Pine Script, often not integrated into overall trading strategies. Yet, when used wisely, this tool can significantly enhance your trading approach. In essence, the session filter ensures that trades are only made within a specific, user-defined time frame. By incorporating this often-neglected building block, you can make your strategy more adaptable to various market conditions and trading preferences.
What is a Time Session Filter?
A time session filter is designed to:
Select Times of the Day to Trade: The filter allows you to choose specific hours during the day in which trades are allowed to be excecuted.
Toggle Days to Trade: You can decide which days of the week you want to trade, giving you the flexibility to avoid days that are historically not profitable for your strategy.
Close Trade When Session Ends: The filter can automatically close any open trade once the specified time session concludes, reducing the risk associated with holding positions outside your chosen time frame.
The user interface is streamlined, taking minimal space for the input sections, making it convenient to integrate with other indicators in your overall strategy script. In addition the script colors the background of the chart green when the timesession filter is on and makes the background red when the filter doesn't allow any trades. This helps you to visualise the selected timeframes in relation to chart patterns.
Best Practices for Time Selection
From my personal trading experience I share some input settings you can try to play around with:
Stocks: Trading stocks sometimes yield better results if you only trade in the mornings until lunchtime. This is the period when markets are generally more active, and traders are keenly participating.
Cryptocurrencies: For cryptocurrencies, it sometimes makes sense to avoid trading on Fridays, a day when futures contracts often expire. Various other market-moving events also typically occur on Fridays.
Random Selection: Interestingly, sometimes choosing a random selection of times and days can improve the script's performance, adding an element of unpredictability that might outperform more systematic approaches.
Strategy Overview
This strategy script incorporates various elements, including risk position size and MACD indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy. For a detailed explanation of risk position sizing, please refer to this article:
For a complete understanding of the MACD indicator utilized, visit the following explanation:
Additionally, for high time frame trend filters, consult this resource for more info:
Educational Purposes and Risks
Please note that this script is for educational purposes and serves merely as an example of how to incorporate a time session filter into a trading strategy for pinescript. It is a simplified strategy without a fixed stop-loss, which can result in higher exposure to significant losses. The time session filter can be a powerful addition to your trading strategy, providing you with the tools to tailor your approach according to time-specific market conditions. By understanding its functionalities and best practices, you can make more informed trading decisions, but always remember that trading carries inherent risks.
Happy trading!
Doji Trading StrategyA doji names a trading session in which a security has an open and close that are virtually equal, which resembles a candlestick on a chart. The word doji comes from the Japanese phrase meaning “the same thing.” A doji candlestick is a neutral indicator that provides little information.
3kilos BTC 15mThe "3kilos BTC 15m" is a comprehensive trading strategy designed to work on a 15-minute timeframe for Bitcoin (BTC) or other cryptocurrencies. This strategy combines multiple indicators, including Triple Exponential Moving Averages (TEMA), Average True Range (ATR), and Heikin-Ashi candlesticks, to generate buy and sell signals. It also incorporates risk management features like take profit and stop loss.
Indicators
Triple Exponential Moving Averages (TEMA): Three TEMA lines are used with different lengths and sources:
Short TEMA (Red) based on highs
Long TEMA 1 (Blue) based on lows
Long TEMA 2 (Green) based on closing prices
Average True Range (ATR): Custom ATR calculation with EMA smoothing is used for volatility measurement.
Supertrend: Calculated using ATR and a multiplier to determine the trend direction.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): Applied to the short TEMA to smooth out its values.
Heikin-Ashi Close: Used for additional trend confirmation.
Entry & Exit Conditions
Long Entry: Triggered when the short TEMA is above both long TEMA lines, the Supertrend is bullish, the short TEMA is above its SMA, and the Heikin-Ashi close is higher than the previous close.
Short Entry: Triggered when the short TEMA is below both long TEMA lines, the Supertrend is bearish, the short TEMA is below its SMA, and the Heikin-Ashi close is lower than the previous close.
Take Profit and Stop Loss: Both are calculated as a percentage of the entry price, and they are set for both long and short positions.
Risk Management
Take Profit: Set at 1% above the entry price for long positions and 1% below for short positions.
Stop Loss: Set at 3% below the entry price for long positions and 3% above for short positions.
Commission and Pyramiding
Commission: A 0.07% commission is accounted for in the strategy.
Pyramiding: The strategy does not allow pyramiding.
Note
This strategy is designed for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Based RSI (BullDozz)Installation: To use this script, open TradingView and create a new Pine Script strategy. You can paste the code provided into the Pine Script editor.
Customizable Inputs: The script includes various input parameters that you can customize to fit your trading preferences. These parameters are defined using the input function and include values like length, TPPercent, and others. You can adjust these values based on your trading strategy.
Strategy Signals: The script generates buy and sell signals based on the conditions specified in the buySignal and sellSignal variables. These signals are derived from the analysis of the oscillator (osc) and the Relative Strength Index (rsi). When a buy signal occurs, the script enters a long position, and when a sell signal occurs, it enters a short position.
Take Profit: The script includes a take profit feature (useTP) that allows you to enable or disable take profit orders. When enabled, it calculates take profit levels based on the specified percent (TPPercent) and attaches them to the open positions.
Plotting: The script also visualizes the oscillator (osc) and a midline (0) on the chart using histogram-style bars. The colors of these bars change based on the oscillator's direction.
Risk Management and Positionsize - MACD exampleMastering Risk Management
Risk management is the cornerstone of successful trading, and it's often the difference between turning a profit and suffering a loss. In light of its importance, I share a risk management tool which you can use for your trading strategies. The script not only assists in position sizing but also comes with built-in technical features that help in market timing. Let's delve into the nitty-gritty details.
Input Parameter: MarginFactor
One of the key features of the script is the MarginFactor input parameter. This element lets you control the portion of your equity used for placing each trade. A MarginFactor of -0.5 means 50% of your total equity will be deployed in placing the position size. Although Tradingview has a built-in option to adjust position sizing in a same way, I personally prefer to have the logic in my pinecode script. The main reason is userexperience in managing and testing different settings for different charts, timeframes and instruments (with the same strategy).
Stoploss and MarginFactor
If your strategy has a 4% stop-loss, you can choose to use only 50% of your equity by setting the MarginFactor to -0.5. In this case, you are effectively risking only 2% of your total capital per trade, which aligns well with the widely-accepted rule of thumb suggesting a 1-2% risk per trade. Similar if your stoploss is only 1% you can choose to change the MarginFactor to 1, resulting in a positionsize of 200% of your equity. The total risk would be again 2% per trade if your stoploss is set to 1%.
Max Drawdown and MarginFactor
Your MarginFactor setting can also be aligned with the maximum drawdown of your strategy, seen during a backtested period of 2-3 years. For example, if the max drawdown is 15%, you could calibrate your MarginFactor accordingly to limit your risk exposure.
Option to Toggle Number of Contracts
The script offers the option to toggle between using a percentage of equity for position sizing or specifying a fixed number of contracts. Utilizing a percentage of equity might yield unrealistic backtest results, especially over longer periods. This occurs because as the capital grows, the absolute position size also increases, potentially inflating the accumulated returns generated by the backtester. On the other hand, setting a fixed number of contracts as your position size offers a more stable and realistic ROI over the backtested period, as it removes the compounding effect on position sizes.
Key Features Strategy
MACD High Time Frame Entry and Exit Logic
The strategy employs a high time frame MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) to make entry and exit decisions. You can easily adjust the timeframe settings and MACD settings in the inputsection to trade on lower timeframes. For more information on the HTF MACD with dynamic smoothing see:
Moving Average High Time Frame Filter
To reduce market 'noise', the strategy incorporates a high time frame moving average filter. This ensures that the trades are aligned with the dominant market trend (trading the trend). In the inputsection traders can easily switch between different type of moving averages. For more information about this HTF filter see:
Dynamic Smoothing
The script includes a feature for dynamic smoothing. The script contains The timeframeToMinutes(tf) function to convert any given time frame into its equivalent in minutes. For example, a daily (D) time frame is converted into 1440 minutes, a weekly (W) into 10,080 minutes, and so forth. Next the smoothing factor is calculated by dividing the minutes of the higher time frame by those of the current time frame. Finally, the script applies a Simple Moving Average (SMA) over the MACD, SIGNAL, and HIST values, MA filter using the dynamically calculated smoothing factor.
User Convenience: One of the major benefits is that traders don't need to manually adjust the smoothing factor when switching between different time frames. The script does this dynamically.
Visual Consistency: Dynamic smoothing helps traders to more accurately visualize and interpret HTF indicators when trading on lower time frames.
Time Frame Restriction: It's crucial to note that the operational time frame should always be lower than the time frame selected in the input sections for dynamic smoothing to function as intended.
By incorporating this dynamic smoothing logic, the script offers traders a nuanced yet straightforward way to adapt High Time Frame indicators for lower time frame trading, enhancing both adaptability and user experience.
Limitations: Exit Strategy
It's crucial to note that the script comes with a simplified exit strategy, devoid of features like a stop-loss, trailing stop-loss or multiple take profits. This means that while the script focuses on entries and risk management, it might result in higher losses if market conditions unexpectedly turn unfavorable.
Conclusion
Effective risk management is pivotal for trading success, and this TradingView script is designed to give you a better idea how to implement positions sizing with your preferred strategy. However, it's essential to note that this tool should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your due diligence and consult with financial advisors before making any trading decisions.
Feel free to use this risk management tool as building block in your trading scripts, Happy Trading!
Dual-Supertrend with MACD - Strategy [presentTrading]## Introduction and How it is Different
The Dual-Supertrend with MACD strategy offers an amalgamation of two trend-following indicators (Supertrend 1 & 2) with a momentum oscillator (MACD). It aims to provide a cohesive and systematic approach to trading, eliminating the need for discretionary decision-making.
Key advantages over traditional single-indicator strategies:
- Dual Supertrend Validation: Utilizes two Supertrend indicators with different ATR periods and factors to confirm the trend direction. This double-check mechanism minimizes false signals.
- Momentum Confirmation: The MACD histogram acts as a momentum filter, confirming entries and exits, thus adding an extra layer of validation.
- Objective Entry and Exit: The strategy generates buy and sell signals based on a combination of trend direction and momentum, leaving no room for subjective interpretation.
- Automated Trade Management: The strategy includes built-in settings for commission, slippage, and initial capital, automating the trade execution process.
- Adaptability: The strategy allows for easy customization of all its parameters, adapting to a trader's specific needs and varying market conditions.
BTCUSD 8hr chart Long Condition
BTCUSD 6hr chart Long Short Condition
## Strategy, How it Works
The strategy operates on a set of clearly defined rules, primarily focusing on the trend direction confirmed by the Dual-Supertrend and the momentum as indicated by the MACD histogram.
### Entry Rules
- Long Entry: When both Supertrend indicators are bullish and the MACD histogram is above zero.
- Short Entry: When both Supertrend indicators are bearish and the MACD histogram is below zero.
### Exit Rules
- Exit long positions when either of the Supertrends turn bearish or the MACD histogram drops below zero.
- Exit short positions when either of the Supertrends turn bullish or the MACD histogram rises above zero.
### Trade Management
- The strategy uses a fixed commission rate and slippage in its calculations.
- Automated risk management features are integrated to avoid overexposure.
## Trade Direction
The strategy allows for trading in both bullish and bearish markets. Users can select their preferred trading direction ("long", "short", or "both") to align with their market outlook and trading objectives.
## Usage
- The strategy is best applied on timeframes where the trend is evident.
- Users can modify the ATR periods, factors for Supertrends, and MACD settings to suit their trading needs.
## Default Settings
- ATR Period for Supertrend 1: 10
- Factor for Supertrend 1: 3.0
- ATR Period for Supertrend 2: 20
- Factor for Supertrend 2: 5.0
- MACD Fast Length: 12
- MACD Slow Length: 26
- MACD Signal Smoothing: 9
- Commission: 0.1%
- Slippage: 1 point
- Trading Direction: Both
The strategy comes with these default settings to offer a balanced trading approach but can be customized according to individual trading preferences.
Strategy:Reversal-CatcherWhat
This is a plain and vanilla reversal based strategy for intraday (15m) timeframe on Futures prices of the assets.
Now what all it comprises of?
It finds out the dynamic support & resistance from Bollinger Band (20 period, 1.5 std dev).
It finds out the potential divergence of price deviation from 5 period exponential moving average (EMA).
If the previous candle (N-1) shows a divergence it confirms the reversal by checking the present candle (N) to be closed inside the Bollinger Band.
It confirms the momentum by checking RSI shows a crossover/crossunder to oversold (30) / overbought (70) region.
It also confirms whether the trend is up (then only reversal trade to short) or down (then only reversal trade to long). The trend is checked with EMA-21 and EMA-50.
Re-affirmation Condition : It re-affirms the position of two successive candles called as `hhLLong` and `hhLLShort` in the script.
Why
In Indian context, retail participants are pre-dominantly (yes- 80% of Indian daily volume) Options buyers mainly in weekly indices (Nifty, BankNifty, FinNifty, CNXMidcap, Sensex, Bankx .. well everyday is expiry now in India, except -- Thank God -- Saturday & Sunday).
And in Index Options the momentum plays a big role.
If one can catch a good reversal point the potential of high Risk-to-Reward trade (hence earn handsomely) is very likely (please note: there is no holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100%).
So this is the attempt to catch a reversal.
Re-affirmation of Reversal
hhLLong : It's a reversal point after an uptrend. It checks the relative positioning of current candle compared to that of previous candle. [The details are in the script. Check for variable hhLLong in script.
hhLLShort : It's a reversal point after a downtrend. It checks the relative positioning of current candle compared to that of previous candle. [The details are in the script. Check for variable hhLLShort in script.
Unique-ness
What's unique in it? Why we decided to publicly share this:
Already given the context of The Great Indian Options Buyers community. It should be helpful to them, we believe.
It takes Very Less Number of Trades with High Accuracy . Please check the result in NSE:NIFTY1! in 15m timeframe. 71% accuracy with roughly a trade in a month.
There is no point giving brokers' the brokerages taking 10 trades a day and ending not-so-good EoD. Better lets take less trades with better result possibility. .
Mention
There are many people uses this variation of Bolling Band, 5EMA
Many people use RSI, trends and relative positioning of candles.
--> We are grateful to all of them. It's really difficult to mention everyone's name. But all people somehow influence the thought process. Thanks for all of them.
Statutory Disclaimer
There is no silver bullet / holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100% time. One has to be careful about the loss (s)he can bear in case of the trade goes against.
We, as the author of this script, is not responsible for any trading or position decision one is taken based on the outcome of this.
It is our sole discretion to change, add, delete the portion or withdraw the whole script without any prior notice or intimation.
In Indian Context : We are not SEBI registered, will never be SEBI registered.
Linear Cross Trading StrategyLinear Cross Trading Strategy
The Linear Cross trading strategy is a technical analysis strategy that uses linear regression to predict the future price of a stock. The strategy is based on the following principles:
The price of a stock tends to follow a linear trend over time.
The slope of the linear trend can be used to predict the future price of the stock.
The strategy enters a long position when the predicted price crosses above the current price, and exits the position when the predicted price crosses below the current price.
The Linear Cross trading strategy is implemented in the TradingView Pine script below. The script first calculates the linear regression of the stock price over a specified period of time. The script then plots the predicted price and the current price on the chart. The script also defines two signals:
Long signal: The long signal is triggered when the predicted price crosses above the current price.
Short signal: The short signal is triggered when the predicted price crosses below the current price.
The script enters a long position when the long signal is triggered and exits the position when the short signal is triggered.
Here is a more detailed explanation of the steps involved in the Linear Cross trading strategy:
Calculate the linear regression of the stock price over a specified period of time.
Plot the predicted price and the current price on the chart.
Define two signals: the long signal and the short signal.
Enter a long position when the long signal is triggered.
Exit the long position when the short signal is triggered.
The Linear Cross trading strategy is a simple and effective way to trade stocks. However, it is important to note that no trading strategy is guaranteed to be profitable. It is always important to do your own research and backtest the strategy before using it to trade real money.
Here are some additional things to keep in mind when using the Linear Cross trading strategy:
The length of the linear regression period is a key parameter that affects the performance of the strategy. A longer period will smooth out the noise in the price data, but it will also make the strategy less responsive to changes in the price.
The strategy is more likely to generate profitable trades when the stock price is trending. However, the strategy can also generate profitable trades in ranging markets.
The strategy is not immune to losses. It is important to use risk management techniques to protect your capital when using the strategy.
I hope this blog post helps you understand the Linear Cross trading strategy better. Booost and share with your friend, if you like.
Linear On MACDUnlocking the Magic of Linear Regression in TradingView
In the ever-evolving world of financial markets, traders and investors seek effective tools to gauge price movements, make informed decisions, and achieve their financial goals. One such tool that has proven its worth over time is linear regression, a mathematical concept that has found its way into technical analysis and trading strategies. In this blog post, we will explore the magic behind linear regression, delve into its history, and understand how it's widely used as a technical indicator.
The Birth of Linear Regression: From Mathematics to Trading
Linear regression is a statistical method that aims to model the relationship between two variables by fitting a linear equation to observed data. The formula for a linear regression line is typically expressed as y = a + bx, where y is the dependent variable, x is the independent variable, a is the intercept, and b is the slope.
While the roots of linear regression trace back to the field of statistics, it didn't take long for traders and investors to recognize its potential in the financial world. By applying linear regression to historical price data, traders can identify trends, assess the relationship between variables, and even predict potential future price levels.
The Linear On MACD Strategy
Let's take a closer look at a powerful example of how linear regression is employed in a trading strategy right within TradingView. The "Linear On MACD" strategy harnesses the potential of linear regression in conjunction with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. The goal of this strategy is to generate buy and sell signals based on the interactions between the predicted stock price and the MACD indicator.
Here's a breakdown of the strategy's components:
Calculation of Linear Regression: The strategy begins by calculating linear regression coefficients for the historical stock price based on volume. This helps predict potential future price levels.
Predicted Stock Price: The linear regression results are then used to plot the predicted stock price on the chart. This provides a visual representation of where the price could trend based on historical data.
Buy and Sell Signals: The strategy generates buy signals when certain conditions are met. These conditions include the predicted stock price being between the open and close prices, a rising MACD, and other factors that suggest a potential bullish trend. On the other hand, sell signals are generated based on MACD trends and predicted price levels.
Risk Management: The strategy also incorporates risk tolerance levels to determine entry and exit points. This ensures that traders take into account their risk appetite when making trading decisions.
Embracing the Magic of Linear Regression
As we explore the "Linear On MACD" strategy, we uncover the power of linear regression in aiding traders and investors. Linear regression, a mathematical marvel, seamlessly merges with technical analysis to provide insights into potential price movements. Its historical significance in statistics blends perfectly with the demands of modern financial markets.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious investor, the Linear On MACD strategy exemplifies how a robust mathematical concept can be harnessed to make informed trading decisions. By embracing the magic of linear regression, you're tapping into a tool that continues to evolve alongside the financial world it empowers.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this blog post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading and investing carry risks, and it's important to conduct thorough research and consider seeking professional advice before making any trading decisions.
Trend Confirmation StrategyThe profitability and uniqueness of a trading strategy depend on various factors including market conditions, risk management, and the strategy's ability to capitalize on price movements. I'll describe the strategy provided and highlight its potential benefits and differences compared to other strategies:
Strategy Overview:
The provided strategy combines three technical indicators: Supertrend, MACD, and VWAP. It aims to identify potential entry and exit points by confirming trend direction and considering the proximity to the VWAP level. The strategy also incorporates stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms, as well as a trailing stop.
Unique Aspects and Potential Benefits:
Trend Confirmation: The strategy uses both Supertrend and MACD to confirm the trend direction. This dual confirmation can increase the likelihood of accurate trend identification and filter out false signals.
VWAP Confirmation: The strategy considers the proximity of the price to the VWAP level. This dynamic level can act as a support or resistance and provide additional context for entry decisions.
Adaptive Stop Loss: The strategy sets a stop-loss range, which helps provide some tolerance for minor price fluctuations. This adaptive approach considers market volatility and helps prevent premature stop-loss triggers.
Trailing Stop: The strategy incorporates a trailing stop mechanism to lock in profits as the trade moves in the desired direction. This can potentially enhance profitability during strong trends.
Partial Profit Booking: While not explicitly implemented in the provided code, you could consider booking partial profits when the MACD shows a crossover in the opposite direction. This aspect could help secure gains while still keeping exposure to potential further price movements.
Key Differences from Other Strategies:
Dual Indicator Confirmation: The combination of Supertrend and MACD for trend confirmation is a unique aspect of this strategy. It adds an extra layer of filtering to enhance the accuracy of entry signals.
Dynamic VWAP: Incorporating the VWAP level into the decision-making process adds a dynamic element to the strategy. VWAP is often used by institutional traders, and its inclusion can provide insights into the market sentiment.
Adaptive Stop Loss and Trailing: The strategy's use of an adaptive stop-loss range and a trailing stop can help manage risk and protect profits more effectively during changing market conditions.
Partial Profit Booking: The suggestion to consider partial profit booking upon MACD crossovers in the opposite direction is a practical approach to secure gains while staying in the trade.
Caution and Considerations:
Backtesting: Before deploying any strategy in real trading, it's crucial to thoroughly backtest it on historical data to understand its performance under various market conditions.
Risk Management: While the strategy has built-in risk management mechanisms, it's essential to carefully manage position sizes and overall portfolio risk.
Market Conditions: No strategy works well in all market conditions. It's important to be flexible and adjust the strategy or refrain from trading during particularly volatile or unpredictable periods.
Continuous Monitoring: Even though the strategy includes automated components, continuous monitoring of the trades and market conditions is necessary.
Adaptability: Markets can change over time. Traders need to be prepared to adapt the strategy as necessary to stay aligned with evolving market dynamics.
Financial Ratios Fundamental StrategyWhat are financial ratios?
Financial ratios are basic calculations using quantitative data from a company’s financial statements. They are used to get insights and important information on the company’s performance, profitability, and financial health.
Common financial ratios come from a company’s balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement.
Businesses use financial ratios to determine liquidity, debt concentration, growth, profitability, and market value.
The common financial ratios every business should track are
1) liquidity ratios
2) leverage ratios
3)efficiency ratio
4) profitability ratios
5) market value ratios.
Initially I had a big list of 20 different ratios for testing, but in the end I decided to stick for the strategy with these ones :
Current ratio: Current Assets / Current Liabilities
The current ratio measures how a business’s current assets, such as cash, cash equivalents, accounts receivable, and inventories, are used to settle current liabilities such as accounts payable.
Interest coverage ratio: EBIT / Interest expenses
Companies generally pay interest on corporate debt. The interest coverage ratio shows if a company’s revenue after operating expenses can cover interest liabilities.
Payables turnover ratio: Cost of Goods sold (or net credit purchases) / Average Accounts Payable
The payables turnover ratio calculates how quickly a business pays its suppliers and creditors.
Gross margin: Gross profit / Net sales
The gross margin ratio measures how much profit a business makes after the cost of goods and services compared to net sales.
With this data, I have created the long and long exit strategy:
For long, if any of the 4 listed ratios,such as current ratio or interest coverage ratio or payable turn ratio or gross margin ratio is ascending after a quarter, its a potential long entry.
For example in january the gross margin ratio is at 10% and in april is at 15%, this is an increase from a quarter to another, so it will get a long entry trigger.
The same could happen if any of the 4 listed ratios follow the ascending condition since they are all treated equally as important
For exit, if any of the 4 listed ratios are descending after a quarter, such as current ratio or interest coverage ratio or payable turn ratio or gross margin ratio is descending after a quarter, its a potential long exit.
For example in april we entered a long trade, and in july data from gross margin comes as 12% .
In this case it fell down from 15% to 12%, triggering an exit for our trade.
However there is a special case with this strategy, in order to make it more re active and make use of the compound effect:
So lets say on july 1 when the data came in, the gross margin data came descending (indicating an exit for the long trade), however at the same the interest coverage ratio came as positive, or any of the other 3 left ratios left . In that case the next day after the trade closed, it will enter a new long position and wait again until a new quarter data for the financial is being published.
Regarding the guidelines of tradingview, they recommend to have more than 100 trades.
With this type of strategy, using Daily timeframe and data from financials coming each quarter(4 times a year), we only have the financial data available since 2016, so that makes 28 quarters of data, making a maximum potential of 28 trades.
This can however be "bypassed" to check the integrity of the strategy and its edge, by taking for example multiple stocks and test them in a row, for example, appl, msft, goog, brk and so on, and you can see the correlation between them all.
At the same time I have to say that this strategy is more as an educational one since it miss a risk management and other additional filters to make it more adapted for real live trading, and instead serves as a guiding tool for those that want to make use of fundamentals in their trades
If you have any questions, please let me know !
Elliott Wave with Supertrend Exit - Strategy [presentTrading]## Introduction and How it is Different
The Elliott Wave with Supertrend Exit provides automated detection and validation of Elliott Wave patterns for algorithmic trading. It is designed to objectively identify high-probability wave formations and signal entries based on confirmed impulsive and corrective patterns.
* The Elliott part is mostly referenced from Elliott Wave by @LuxAlgo
Key advantages compared to discretionary Elliott Wave analysis:
- Wave Labeling and Counting: The strategy programmatically identifies swing pivot highs/lows with the Zigzag indicator and analyzes the waves between them. It labels the potential impulsive and corrective patterns as they form. This removes the subjectivity of manual wave counting.
- Pattern Validation: A rules-based engine confirms valid impulsive and corrective patterns by checking relative size relationships and fib ratios. Only confirmed wave counts are plotted and traded.
- Objective Entry Signals: Trades are entered systematically on the start of new impulsive waves in the direction of the trend. Pattern failures invalidate setups and stop out positions.
- Automated Trade Management: The strategy defines specific rules for profit targets at fib extensions, trailing stops at swing points, and exits on Supertrend reversals. This automates the entire trade lifecycle.
- Adaptability: The waveform recognition engine can be tuned by adjusting parameters like Zigzag depth and Supertrend settings. It adapts to evolving market conditions.
ETH 1hr chart
In summary, the strategy brings automation, objectivity and adaptability to Elliott Wave trading - removing subjective interpretation errors and emotional trading biases. It implements a rules-based, algorithmic approach for systematically trading Elliott Wave patterns across markets and timeframes.
## Trading Logic and Rules
The strategy follows specific trading rules based on the detected and validated Elliott Wave patterns.
Entry Rules
- Long entry when a new impulsive bullish (5-wave) pattern forms
- Short entry when a new impulsive bearish (5-wave) pattern forms
The key is entering on the start of a new potential trend wave rather than chasing.
Exit Rules
- Invalidation of wave pattern stops out the trade
- Close long trades on Supertrend downturn
- Close short trades on Supertrend upturn
- Use a stop loss of 10% of entry price (configurable)
Trade Management
- Scale out partial profits at Fibonacci levels
- Move stop to breakeven when price reaches 1.618 extension
- Trail stops below key swing points
- Target exits at next Fibonacci projection level
Risk Management
- Use stop losses on all trades
- Trade only highest probability setups
- Size positions according to chart timeframe
- Avoid overtrading when no clear patterns emerge
## Strategy - How it Works
The core logic follows these steps:
1. Find swing highs/lows with Zigzag indicator
2. Analyze pivot points to detect impulsive 5-wave patterns:
- Waves 1, 3, and 5 should not overlap
- Waves 3 and 5 must be longer than wave 1
- Confirm relative size relationships between waves
3. Validate corrective 3-wave patterns:
- Look for overlapping, choppy waves that retrace the prior impulsive wave
4. Plot validated waves and Fibonacci retracement levels
5. Signal entries when a new impulsive wave pattern forms
6. Manage exits based on pattern failures and Supertrend reversals
Impulsive Wave Validation
The strategy checks relative size relationships to confirm valid impulsive waves.
For uptrends, it ensures:
```
Copy code- Wave 3 is longer than wave 1
- Wave 5 is longer than wave 2
- Waves do not overlap
```
Corrective Wave Validation
The strategy identifies overlapping corrective patterns that retrace the prior impulsive wave within Fibonacci levels.
Pattern Failure Invalidation
If waves fail validation tests, the strategy invalidates the pattern and stops signaling trades.
## Trade Direction
The strategy detects impulsive and corrective patterns in both uptrends and downtrends. Entries are signaled in the direction of the validated wave pattern.
## Usage
- Use on charts showing clear Elliott Wave patterns
- Start with daily or weekly timeframes to gauge overall trend
- Optimize Zigzag and Supertrend settings as needed
- Consider combining with other indicators for confirmation
## Default Settings
- Zigzag Length: 4 bars
- Supertrend Length: 10 bars
- Supertrend Multiplier: 3
- Stop Loss: 10% of entry price
- Trading Direction: Both
