금 현물 / 미국 달러

Gold bears need validation from $1,690 to keep reins

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Gold braces for the fifth consecutive weekly fall at the yearly low. However, oversold RSI challenges the bears as they approach the $1,690 support confluence, comprising 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of March-August 2020 upside and an ascending trend line from May 2020. If the precious metal posts the weekly close below $1,690, it becomes vulnerable to testing the 200-week moving average (WMA) near $1,650. It’s worth noting that the $1,650 level is the last defense for the bullion buyers and a break of which will give rein to sellers.

Alternatively, the corrective pullback may aim for September 2021 low surrounding $1,721 before eying the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near $1,765. In a case where gold prices manage to stay beyond $1,765, the $1,800 threshold and the previous support line from early 2020, around $1,865, will regain the market’s attention.

Overall, the gold price is about the reach the bear’s home but multiple hurdles could trigger the corrective pullback.

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