#5-2 THE MOST ACCURATE GOLD FORECAST IN THE WORLD
SUMMARY - This is the 11/12/23, 15-min bar and 84-hour generic, CONTINUOUS EVOLVING FORECAST for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker, with detailing for first 40 hours. The workup in #5-1 (link is below) has produced this binary through early hours of this Thursday. If you zoom out the chart, you can see the rest of the bull routes. I do not think we will need it UNLESS price gets above the blue outline.
WARNING - As a precaution, the first rule of trading is don't lose money. As a reminder, the second rule of trading is don't forget the first rule. As usual, this MUST be used with continuing notes posted the following 12-16 hours to supplement - not replace - your trading discipline and risk management. As of late, forecasts are once/twice per day to be continuously relevant. As always, when price action disagrees with forecast meaningfully and I do not respond in time, SCRAP THE FORECAST and trade defensively.
HOW TO USE - Blues are strong bear routes. Oranges are strong bull routes. The darker the color, the more likely price action will take that path. The outlines running along with hi-lights are LIMITS OF STRONG FAVORABILITY and work great for stops. Above blue outline, bulls are 8:2 or better. Under orange outline, bears are 9:1 or better.
DETAILS - Links for most recent and relevant posts are below for background and how we got here. I recommend that you replay them (especially if you are new to us) occasionally as frame of reference, but most importantly, as evidence that these forecasts help you cash day in and day out. Ask my readers.
IF MY FORECASTS HELP YOU MAKE REAL MONEY - Want more posts, more accuracy, and around the clock updates? Help me out by spreading the word to people you know PERSONALLY. Word of mouth is the best way you can help me make this a thing. The more demand I have for this, the more posts on more tickers I will make. The current rates of followers/readership is really not worth it for me to keep going, but I don't know why I keep trying. If you are that loner type that ignore friends, well then I guess hit the boost/like button.
WARNING - As a precaution, the first rule of trading is don't lose money. As a reminder, the second rule of trading is don't forget the first rule. As usual, this MUST be used with continuing notes posted the following 12-16 hours to supplement - not replace - your trading discipline and risk management. As of late, forecasts are once/twice per day to be continuously relevant. As always, when price action disagrees with forecast meaningfully and I do not respond in time, SCRAP THE FORECAST and trade defensively.
HOW TO USE - Blues are strong bear routes. Oranges are strong bull routes. The darker the color, the more likely price action will take that path. The outlines running along with hi-lights are LIMITS OF STRONG FAVORABILITY and work great for stops. Above blue outline, bulls are 8:2 or better. Under orange outline, bears are 9:1 or better.
DETAILS - Links for most recent and relevant posts are below for background and how we got here. I recommend that you replay them (especially if you are new to us) occasionally as frame of reference, but most importantly, as evidence that these forecasts help you cash day in and day out. Ask my readers.
IF MY FORECASTS HELP YOU MAKE REAL MONEY - Want more posts, more accuracy, and around the clock updates? Help me out by spreading the word to people you know PERSONALLY. Word of mouth is the best way you can help me make this a thing. The more demand I have for this, the more posts on more tickers I will make. The current rates of followers/readership is really not worth it for me to keep going, but I don't know why I keep trying. If you are that loner type that ignore friends, well then I guess hit the boost/like button.
코멘트:
5:45 PM ET, NO TIME YET. THIS IS JUST MY 800-DAY OUT LOOK.
코멘트:
a) for chart above:
b) this is the penalty for bulls failing this breakout setup
c) so forr March 08, 2024:
d) if bulls move up, it's 2380 2550, 2670, 2740 (bc of the regression twists
e) if bears move, it's 1170
f) I wonder if the math is wrong, bc it's SOOO STUPID
g) but Im putting up so we can refer to it later
b) this is the penalty for bulls failing this breakout setup
c) so forr March 08, 2024:
d) if bulls move up, it's 2380 2550, 2670, 2740 (bc of the regression twists
e) if bears move, it's 1170
f) I wonder if the math is wrong, bc it's SOOO STUPID
g) but Im putting up so we can refer to it later
코멘트:
11/12, 5:50 PM ET, this goes w/o saying, but I obvious think bears win tonight
a) I am totally convinced
b) but that's just theory
c) I am easily swayed
d) all bulls have to do is GET ABOVE THAT BLUE outline in chart at top
a) I am totally convinced
b) but that's just theory
c) I am easily swayed
d) all bulls have to do is GET ABOVE THAT BLUE outline in chart at top
코멘트:
6:06 PM ET 1941.XX
1) bulls have a short window to make 1945 1946
2) they need to do it soon...
1) bulls have a short window to make 1945 1946
2) they need to do it soon...
코멘트:
6:28 PM ET HERE IS WHAT I SEE NOW:
코멘트:
a) in chart at top, if price stays in that channel w/ bold black support line
b) the top should about 1945.5 around 11 PM ET
c) SHORT IT as soon as it breaks that channel
d) first stop something tight like 1946.
e) the rest of the way to 1920, arc as trail stop
b) the top should about 1945.5 around 11 PM ET
c) SHORT IT as soon as it breaks that channel
d) first stop something tight like 1946.
e) the rest of the way to 1920, arc as trail stop
코멘트:
6:41 PM ET, I saw that broke as soon as I posted it so...
코멘트:
a) in chart above, old bold is gone..
b) new bold line is saying you not getting past it tonight
c) this is a bad sign for bulls already
d) bc that spike to 1928? was not in the cards AT ALL
b) new bold line is saying you not getting past it tonight
c) this is a bad sign for bulls already
d) bc that spike to 1928? was not in the cards AT ALL
코멘트:
e) I guessed w/ the new light above
f) but it checked out.. not terrible
h) so for the next 7-8 hours that is base case until something changes
f) but it checked out.. not terrible
h) so for the next 7-8 hours that is base case until something changes
코멘트:
7:04 PM, no , this is better:
코멘트:
코멘트:
7:06 PM ET bulls best hope for this now is
코멘트:
7:18 PM ET, the orange line broke so back to these two:
코멘트:
a) 7:24 PM, I have to drive a little bit
b) so bulls need to got 1945 BUT HOLD 1942 through 1 AM to get a good setup or a move up
b) so bulls need to got 1945 BUT HOLD 1942 through 1 AM to get a good setup or a move up
코멘트:
c) bears want to go back to this curve:
코멘트:
d) it's a bit higher than the curve before
e) 7:34 PM ET, if neither of those two things happen I will comment next at 11 PM
f) it's not moving a lot right now some I'm going to Home Depot to get some thing fixed
e) 7:34 PM ET, if neither of those two things happen I will comment next at 11 PM
f) it's not moving a lot right now some I'm going to Home Depot to get some thing fixed
코멘트:
코멘트:
g) MOST IMPORTANT 2 LINES TO THURSDAY AM:
코멘트:
8:53 PM ET, HUGE TYPO IN "HOW TO USE" AT TOP:
1) BLUES ARE BULLS
2) ORANGES BEARS
3) even it's obvious, the directions had them reversed
4) you just never know with newbies
1) BLUES ARE BULLS
2) ORANGES BEARS
3) even it's obvious, the directions had them reversed
4) you just never know with newbies
코멘트:
9:28 PM ET DELAY AND DELAY
a) this move down t keeps getting back and back
b) but is still is VERY FAVORED vs a move up
c) two things are happening
d) it pushes the move later but is also moving deeper
e) what the delay is saying, is A KISS OF DEATH at NY open, maybe a strong one
f) but that AFTER the move down to what was 1923, then 20, now 18 or 16
a) this move down t keeps getting back and back
b) but is still is VERY FAVORED vs a move up
c) two things are happening
d) it pushes the move later but is also moving deeper
e) what the delay is saying, is A KISS OF DEATH at NY open, maybe a strong one
f) but that AFTER the move down to what was 1923, then 20, now 18 or 16
코멘트:
10:05 PM ET SO HERE'S WHAT I MEANT:
코멘트:
a) 3 hi-lights above, lightest is original one
b) then faded is the one I moved over
c) the dark one is the new one
d) it is saying it will go to 1915-1916
b) then faded is the one I moved over
c) the dark one is the new one
d) it is saying it will go to 1915-1916
코멘트:
e) BUT THEN???
f) well I don't know... since the front end is different ..
g) the tail end MUST look different ... ..
h) if it hits that, just call it a night
f) well I don't know... since the front end is different ..
g) the tail end MUST look different ... ..
h) if it hits that, just call it a night
코멘트:
i) for what it's worth though it should beat the ORIGINAL CURVE DOWN!!
j) not terrible ha?
j) not terrible ha?
코멘트:
10:15 OMG OMG ... IT'S GUNNING FOR 1895!!!
코멘트:
k) first here's these two:
코멘트:
b) the two bold ones are two charts up from here
코멘트:
c) so then:
코멘트:
d) so odds of this was like ZERO at the beginning of then night
e) it then went 1:19, 2:18, 3:17 and just made 4:16, that's really just 20%
f) but it's got the wave lined up for it!!
e) it then went 1:19, 2:18, 3:17 and just made 4:16, that's really just 20%
f) but it's got the wave lined up for it!!
코멘트:
g) here do this:
코멘트:
h) odds are still low for 1895.. but it has SUPER STRONG MOMENTUM WHEN WAVES LINE UP!!
i) but usually it hits the low AFTER the second curve, so just add a third one like this:
i) but usually it hits the low AFTER the second curve, so just add a third one like this:
코멘트:
j) in chart above that's the third line
코멘트:
k) 10:40 PM ET, replay chart at top, see how the blue route is STILL ON RIGHT NOW?
l) this move will SHUT THE DOOR AND KILL THE BULL COMEBACK
m) we were at a similar juncture for bulls a few days ago remember?
n) when it bounced to 1965 and STALLED AT 1958.5 that night
o) I said bulls had 3 chances and couldn't pull it out
b) bears look like 1916 at least
l) this move will SHUT THE DOOR AND KILL THE BULL COMEBACK
m) we were at a similar juncture for bulls a few days ago remember?
n) when it bounced to 1965 and STALLED AT 1958.5 that night
o) I said bulls had 3 chances and couldn't pull it out
b) bears look like 1916 at least
코멘트:
q) a bit of hesitation now...
r) I'll be back, gotta fix some chairs
r) I'll be back, gotta fix some chairs
코멘트:
s) 10:54 PM, not coming quick BUT WE ARE ON FOR 1895 next 8 hours or so
코멘트:
t) the question now is HOW MUCH ZIG ZAG are we talking about
코멘트:
u) 11:14 PM ET, be patient... we're going down
v) I just gotta find what the route needs to look like
v) I just gotta find what the route needs to look like
코멘트:
w) it's going to be the annoying way, all the way until morning
코멘트:
12:03 AM ET... Replay chart atop showing it's trying to follow blue, at 1936.xx.
a) I'm looking into this
b) I think it should fail and move down
a) I'm looking into this
b) I think it should fail and move down
코멘트:
c) if they are going to do it, they have 60-90 minutes to make this work
d) if you need it 1938.5 stop for bears
e) I don't see it
f) I see strong reversal down and down and down
d) if you need it 1938.5 stop for bears
e) I don't see it
f) I see strong reversal down and down and down
코멘트:
11:52 AM ET .. 1939.XX replay shows price above orange outline...
a) at the top I wrote:
>> The outlines running along with hi-lights are LIMITS OF STRONG FAVORABILITY and work great for stops.
>> Above blue outline, bulls are 8:2 or better. Under orange outline, bears are 9:1 or better.
b) the outlines run along with hi-lights and serve as reversal warning
c) that's why I said stop at 1938.5
d) I'm going to sit out this one for a little bit
a) at the top I wrote:
>> The outlines running along with hi-lights are LIMITS OF STRONG FAVORABILITY and work great for stops.
>> Above blue outline, bulls are 8:2 or better. Under orange outline, bears are 9:1 or better.
b) the outlines run along with hi-lights and serve as reversal warning
c) that's why I said stop at 1938.5
d) I'm going to sit out this one for a little bit
코멘트:
2:10 AM ET I am short again. I think I waited long enough.
a) Im really tired tonight so I''m going to bed early
b) I have a stop for 1941 and alarm for 5 am
a) Im really tired tonight so I''m going to bed early
b) I have a stop for 1941 and alarm for 5 am
코멘트:
8:15 AM, the middle again.
a) indecision that favors bulls over the short term
b) otherwise, need new maps
a) indecision that favors bulls over the short term
b) otherwise, need new maps
코멘트:
c) this has happened a couple of times the last 60 days
d) whenever it does we should know early
e) for this post it would have been a bit after 4 AM, so 4 hours ago
d) whenever it does we should know early
e) for this post it would have been a bit after 4 AM, so 4 hours ago
코멘트:
f) to be absolutely clear, favoring bulls over the short term IS ONLY IN THEORY
g) there's NO TRADE UNTIL I HAVE A MAP
g) there's NO TRADE UNTIL I HAVE A MAP
코멘트:
8:47 AM ET, FOR FUTURE REFERENCE, HERE'S WHEN THE FORECAST IS DEAD:
코멘트:
a) so in chart above:
b) first attempt was orange
c) second attempt was blue
d) MY MAPS ARE SUPER SENSITIVE
e) in this case there are NO MORE "DARK" colors
f) if I was up, I would call it dead right here:
b) first attempt was orange
c) second attempt was blue
d) MY MAPS ARE SUPER SENSITIVE
e) in this case there are NO MORE "DARK" colors
f) if I was up, I would call it dead right here:
코멘트:
코멘트:
g) so 2:48 AM, after the blue run "GAVE UP THE SECOND TIME"
h) at the top, in the WARNING, this would be when you "SCRAP THE FORECAST" AND TRADE DEFENSIVELY"
h) at the top, in the WARNING, this would be when you "SCRAP THE FORECAST" AND TRADE DEFENSIVELY"
코멘트:
i) as of 8:53 AM, there's NOTHING to do and ZERO sign of decision soon
코멘트:
9:06 PM ET looking like a move to 1926 now
코멘트:
코멘트:
a) in chart above if BOLD LINE holds, obviously would go down before noon ET
코멘트:
b) looking like 1920 before noon
코멘트:
c) stop for shorts should be 1937.25
d) if hit just wait it out and pick a better spot
d) if hit just wait it out and pick a better spot
코멘트:
10:20 AM ET 1936.62... bears still favored:
코멘트:
a) orange is base case AS LONG AS ORANGE CURVE HOLDS
b) hi-light is most likely path down
c) all other orange dotted lines are less likely from a 2-min bar view
d) from 15-min they're all about the same
b) hi-light is most likely path down
c) all other orange dotted lines are less likely from a 2-min bar view
d) from 15-min they're all about the same
코멘트:
10:30 The two strong routes are mirror images on a slant:
코멘트:
a) bulls are trying are HARD to take blue path
b) the longer they STAY DEAD AT 1935-1937
c) the likelier blue route becomse
d) right now oranges still very strong favorites
b) the longer they STAY DEAD AT 1935-1937
c) the likelier blue route becomse
d) right now oranges still very strong favorites
코멘트:
e) 11:10 AM ET bulls have a shot STRAIGHT AT 1965
f) but no stalling!!
f) but no stalling!!
코멘트:
g) it has to be quick if it's going to happen ... 1955 must get hit by 1:30 PM ET
코멘트:
h) watch 1947 in case they stall, other wise, it's STRAIGHT UP TO 1955
i) but the question is can they get 1965??,
i) but the question is can they get 1965??,
코멘트:
j) this depends on HOW FAST THEY GET TO 1955
l) right now it's 11:29 AM ET and stalling a bit at 1943...
m) if they get to 1955 by 12:45 PM ET, then they are FAVORED FOR 1965 BEFORE 4 PM ET
l) right now it's 11:29 AM ET and stalling a bit at 1943...
m) if they get to 1955 by 12:45 PM ET, then they are FAVORED FOR 1965 BEFORE 4 PM ET
코멘트:
n) I can't give you any charts bc I'm trading live
l) I went heavily long so I have to watch my money
l) I went heavily long so I have to watch my money
코멘트:
n) 11:37, 1945.xx I can see 1965 now...
o) the question IS CAN WE DO 1975 BEFORE NY CLOSES
p) why?
q) because
r) if bulls intend to kill ANY bear comeback
s) they NEED 1975 for the room ahead of a sell off
o) the question IS CAN WE DO 1975 BEFORE NY CLOSES
p) why?
q) because
r) if bulls intend to kill ANY bear comeback
s) they NEED 1975 for the room ahead of a sell off
코멘트:
t) 11:47 PM ET THEY SHOULD GET TO 1955 BY 12:15 PM ET
코멘트:
u) no .. 12:25 ...any thing slower than 12:35 AND SUSPICIOUS AF
v) why? bc HIGH VOL WORKS BOTH WAYS
v) why? bc HIGH VOL WORKS BOTH WAYS
코멘트:
w) remember CANNOT STALL AT 1947... GOTTA SHOOT RIGHT THROUGH IT!!
코멘트:
X) comon comon 1946.xx right through, DONT' STALL!!
코멘트:
y) I put in " taking way too freaking (^^) slow and got moderated
z) so fixed that ...
z) so fixed that ...
코멘트:
12:25 PM ET.. getting late 1948.xx HAVE TO HIT 55 on this line or we have to be very careful here:
코멘트:
12:31 TIGHTEN UP STOPS!
1) you can always get back in
2) stick to to your stops
1) you can always get back in
2) stick to to your stops
코멘트:
3) 12: 43 PM ET 1946.XX moving for 1955 now..
4) but that now... we don't know we can get 65...
4) but that now... we don't know we can get 65...
코멘트:
5) sigh... they better close like this or it's going got get ugly... FOR US
코멘트:
a) the whole point of my price mapping is to tell us when we get a huge move...
b) I hate ugly sideways and stair casing price action
c) because I can't get the return for the work I put in, they may get very ugly
b) I hate ugly sideways and stair casing price action
c) because I can't get the return for the work I put in, they may get very ugly
코멘트:
d) 1:30 pm ET... have to run
e) that line just broke
f) bull still have the upper hand here, I just don't know for how long what that should look like
g) bc ALL the intermediate trends are criss crossing so.... argh... its super annoying to map
e) that line just broke
f) bull still have the upper hand here, I just don't know for how long what that should look like
g) bc ALL the intermediate trends are criss crossing so.... argh... its super annoying to map
코멘트:
h) last note, replay chart at top for what I mean by ugly... it's the middle
i) have a really hard time doing sideways market bc my work is based on trend...
j) when there's no trend... UGLY X10
i) have a really hard time doing sideways market bc my work is based on trend...
j) when there's no trend... UGLY X10
코멘트:
2:08 PM ET ... going to go VERTICAL SOON... don't know exactly how long
a) I'm pretty sure we hit 55
b) still wondering about 65
c) we should know soon
a) I'm pretty sure we hit 55
b) still wondering about 65
c) we should know soon
코멘트:
2:31 PM ET 1946.XX needs to go before the setup expires
a) it's complete now
b) no reason no move to 1955
c) setups don't last forever...
a) it's complete now
b) no reason no move to 1955
c) setups don't last forever...
코멘트:
3:12 PM ET 1945.19 so sick...
a) no clarity...
b) reversal down to 1925 still can't be eliminated
c) to make any call for CPI tomorow
a) no clarity...
b) reversal down to 1925 still can't be eliminated
c) to make any call for CPI tomorow
코멘트:
3:40 PM... at least have the decency to close at the high above the trend line???
a) it's 1946.xx
b) I'll take 49.xx above trend line so I can at least eliminate 1925 over night...
c) we will see
a) it's 1946.xx
b) I'll take 49.xx above trend line so I can at least eliminate 1925 over night...
c) we will see
코멘트:
d.)this is the one I want to eliminate:
코멘트:
코멘트:
11/13/23 PM 10:34 PM ET.. I'm tired of waiting for small beans.
1) doing this sucks w/o real vol, other wise what are you trading for?
2) there's giant move down from 01/10-03/08 that can only be stopped by a giant move up
3) I'm working on that
4) other-wise I don't have anything right now
1) doing this sucks w/o real vol, other wise what are you trading for?
2) there's giant move down from 01/10-03/08 that can only be stopped by a giant move up
3) I'm working on that
4) other-wise I don't have anything right now
코멘트:
11/14 /23 9:47 PM ET CPI REACTION COMMENTS
a) first this is what happened:
a) first this is what happened:
코멘트:
b) classic went bull, bear, then swing back to bull
c) so replay chart at top
d) bulls made it into the blue hi-lights and now above blue curve for the second time
e) but they are LATE FOR THE LAST BREAKOUT SET UP for the gold bull thesis as a whole
f) what does that mean??
g) if they bulls are legit, gotta go 1995 TODAY IN ORDER TO DO 2040 tomorrow
c) so replay chart at top
d) bulls made it into the blue hi-lights and now above blue curve for the second time
e) but they are LATE FOR THE LAST BREAKOUT SET UP for the gold bull thesis as a whole
f) what does that mean??
g) if they bulls are legit, gotta go 1995 TODAY IN ORDER TO DO 2040 tomorrow
코멘트:
h) 20:11 AM ET... so meet BUT SHOULD EXCEED blue-hilights
코멘트:
i) this for technical people:
코멘트:
1) in chart above are the regression wave leads with breakdown for gray wave only
2) to the left see how BLACK, BLUE, RED, AND GRAY BEHAVE?
3) they are about REPEAT OR EXCEED THAT CYCLE
4) so I copied the previous rally and moved it over as the LIGHT BLUE path
5) the medium blue is standard for that those set of waves in this fractal
6) that is to say they are "the same size in value"
7) THE DARK BLUE IS WHAT IS SUPPOSED TO HAPPEN BC:
2) to the left see how BLACK, BLUE, RED, AND GRAY BEHAVE?
3) they are about REPEAT OR EXCEED THAT CYCLE
4) so I copied the previous rally and moved it over as the LIGHT BLUE path
5) the medium blue is standard for that those set of waves in this fractal
6) that is to say they are "the same size in value"
7) THE DARK BLUE IS WHAT IS SUPPOSED TO HAPPEN BC:
코멘트:
코멘트:
8) that's with all the waves back on
9) it is repeating that structure
10 while the 96-DAY wave CROSSES OVER the 192-DAY WAVE
11) that means 2200 IN DECEMBER, check down to 2080
12) then 2380 /2440 in FEBRUARY
13) 2550 IF LOW, 2660 IF MEDIUM, 2740 IF HIGH
14) that is THE BULL THESIS
9) it is repeating that structure
10 while the 96-DAY wave CROSSES OVER the 192-DAY WAVE
11) that means 2200 IN DECEMBER, check down to 2080
12) then 2380 /2440 in FEBRUARY
13) 2550 IF LOW, 2660 IF MEDIUM, 2740 IF HIGH
14) that is THE BULL THESIS
코멘트:
15) that means? if it's GOING TO PLAY LIKE IT SAY IT WILL...
16) that's THE ONLY WAY it's going to go
16) that's THE ONLY WAY it's going to go
코멘트:
17) now bear thesis?
코멘트:
18) for the sake of time, I'll avoid the technicals:
코멘트:
코멘트:
19) and this is just February
20) as good as bulls can have it.. which is 800 up from 1940
21) bears can move to 1140
22) AND YES I PROVED THE MATH last night
23) this the decision the market will make in the next 60 hours or rest of Thursday
24) its either 2040 (maybe 2055) or zig zag AND COLLAPSE next week
20) as good as bulls can have it.. which is 800 up from 1940
21) bears can move to 1140
22) AND YES I PROVED THE MATH last night
23) this the decision the market will make in the next 60 hours or rest of Thursday
24) its either 2040 (maybe 2055) or zig zag AND COLLAPSE next week
코멘트:
25) I'm really tired of posting right now
26) but that's what you can expect
27) the bull route for the chart IS COMPLETELY VALID AS LONG AS PRICE HOLDS THE THE BLUE OUTLINE
26) but that's what you can expect
27) the bull route for the chart IS COMPLETELY VALID AS LONG AS PRICE HOLDS THE THE BLUE OUTLINE
코멘트:
28) ONE ASTERISK... because of how low the 12 day wave is
29) it may take Friday to get above 2000
29) it may take Friday to get above 2000
코멘트:
11:35 AM ET
30) I got the 85/15 signal it won't reverse
31) those odds only climb from here to afternoon as long 65 area holds
30) I got the 85/15 signal it won't reverse
31) those odds only climb from here to afternoon as long 65 area holds
코멘트:
12:20 PM ET if you replay chart at top, zoom out for the bull picture.
a) it's at the blue out line again
b) the reaction should be this:
a) it's at the blue out line again
b) the reaction should be this:
코멘트:
코멘트:
c) in ALMOST all extrapolations now
d) we get to 2040-2055 some where beween WED 10 PM ET to FRIDAY 10 AM ET
e) most of those coming by THURSDAY 10 PM ET
d) we get to 2040-2055 some where beween WED 10 PM ET to FRIDAY 10 AM ET
e) most of those coming by THURSDAY 10 PM ET
코멘트:
f) in chart above, I kept wave extensions the same color as the chart before with wave lengths
g) so for this chart the WAVE EXTENSIONS ARE:
h) BLUE 12 DAYS, BLACK 6 DAYS, DARK RED 3 DAYS, AND DARK NAVY 1.5 DAY
g) so for this chart the WAVE EXTENSIONS ARE:
h) BLUE 12 DAYS, BLACK 6 DAYS, DARK RED 3 DAYS, AND DARK NAVY 1.5 DAY
코멘트:
i) I'm going to take a long break
j) there's 2 things to watch for
k) first reaction to 1994-1996 SHOULD BE ZIG ZAG SELL OFF TO 1975
l) very long and very zig zag all the way to PPI
m) the firs reaction to 2005-2015 SHOULD BE A TRIANGLE...
n) after that all the way up, 2040-2055, at least 15% chance even higher
j) there's 2 things to watch for
k) first reaction to 1994-1996 SHOULD BE ZIG ZAG SELL OFF TO 1975
l) very long and very zig zag all the way to PPI
m) the firs reaction to 2005-2015 SHOULD BE A TRIANGLE...
n) after that all the way up, 2040-2055, at least 15% chance even higher
코멘트:
o) there's no reason this goes to '55 again, THAT WOULD BE SUSPICIOUS AF
코멘트:
p) finally here is from 2-min bar, but take with some salt
q) I mean it's 2 min bar, it changes all the time
q) I mean it's 2 min bar, it changes all the time
코멘트:
r) PERSONALLY...
s) I expect the high before 8 AM ET THURSDAY
t) that's 44 hours out
s) I expect the high before 8 AM ET THURSDAY
t) that's 44 hours out
코멘트:
u) here's this so I check out until Thursday:
코멘트:
v) that's what I meant by triangle after PPI's spike up
w) boxes:
1) long one is bear reversal w/ odds roughly 3$
2) 2 small boxes are highs and lows of next rally
3) medium box upper right IS WHERE THE HIGH SHOULD LAND
4) big box is delayed high
5) oval is just my regression tracking for the high, if it moves, high moves
w) boxes:
1) long one is bear reversal w/ odds roughly 3$
2) 2 small boxes are highs and lows of next rally
3) medium box upper right IS WHERE THE HIGH SHOULD LAND
4) big box is delayed high
5) oval is just my regression tracking for the high, if it moves, high moves
코멘트:
6) typo on 1) ...odds roughly 3%, but now 4%
코멘트:
7) odds of this fractal increasing
8) seem like the result will in-between
9) I'll post this chart every few hours for comparison
8) seem like the result will in-between
9) I'll post this chart every few hours for comparison
코멘트:
코멘트:
7:00 PM ET, THIS POST HAS ENDED. So I don't have to post every few hours. here is #5-3:
연관 아이디어
a) will post 4-min bar chart for strategy in next 16 hours
b) I am busy AF though, so don't wait for it