USDJPY is ready to refresh five-year high

2022년 1월 28일

A clear upside break of 20-DMA enables USDJPY bulls to challenge the two-month-old horizontal resistance area, surrounding 115.50-60. Following that, the monthly peak, also the highest levels since January 2017, near 116.35, will be in focus. Although RSI conditions may provide headwinds to the yen pair around the multi-day top, any further advances will not hesitate to challenge the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of October 2021 to January 2022 moves, near 116.90. Should USDJPY prices remain sturdy past 116.90, the 117.00 threshold will act as a validation point for the further rally targeting the year 2017 high of 118.60.

On the contrary, the 20-DMA level near 114.80 will test pullback moves of the USDJPY pair ahead of directing the quote to 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of September 2021 to January 2022 upside, close to 113.50. It’s worth noting, however, that the stated risk barometer pair will have a tough time declining past 113.50 as the 100-DMA and 50% Fibo, around 113.40 and 112.70, will act as strong supports. In a case where the quote drops past 112.70, the bullish trend is likely to witness a major blow with the initial slump to the September high of 112.00.

Fundamentally, USDJPY is all set to renew recent tops as the US dollar cheers the Fed’s hawkish halt.