Morning outlook - USD/JPY fails to surge above 114.20
Although the currency exchange rate was fluctuating in an ascending triangle, releases of better than expected American data forced the pair to stop testing the weekly R1 at 114.19 and make a breakout in the southern direction. As the rate has already passed through the 55- and 100-hour SMAs, it is expected to continue the plunge.
However, there are two support barriers on the way that might turnaround the pair one more time. The first one is located between the 113.25 and 113.21 marks, while the second one represents the rising 200-hour SMA. Daily chart suggests that the pair will not manage to slip below the 113.00 level, as that that area represent location of the lower support line of the dominant rising wedge pattern.
Although the currency exchange rate was fluctuating in an ascending triangle, releases of better than expected American data forced the pair to stop testing the weekly R1 at 114.19 and make a breakout in the southern direction. As the rate has already passed through the 55- and 100-hour SMAs, it is expected to continue the plunge.
However, there are two support barriers on the way that might turnaround the pair one more time. The first one is located between the 113.25 and 113.21 marks, while the second one represents the rising 200-hour SMA. Daily chart suggests that the pair will not manage to slip below the 113.00 level, as that that area represent location of the lower support line of the dominant rising wedge pattern.
In result of the weaker than expected Japan’s national CPI data release as well as the ECB announcement, the pair found support at the 113.34 level and then resumed the surge. Similarly to Wednesday, it failed to break above the weekly R1, which is located at the 114.19 level.
In principle, a release of better than expected information on the US GDP growth later this day might provide a necessary impulse for successful break through the above resistance level. In that case, bulls will get a chance to elevate the rate to the monthly R1 at 114.75. Otherwise the currency pair is expected to retreat back to the 113.80 level, which represents location of the 55- and 100-hour SMAs, or even lower.