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US Market Technicals Ahead (22 Feb – 26 Feb 2021)

The US is releasing the second estimate of Q4 GDP, alongside durable goods orders, personal income and outlays, and PCE price index. Elsewhere, the Eurozone business survey and the UK jobs report will be keenly watched Now, with rising yields, the chances the Fed will begin lowering its asset purchases, reducing liquidity, are starting to increase. Investors are beginning to worry that rising yields could provide competition to stocks.

Here’s what you need to know to start your week.

S&P500 (US Market)

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) was the only major US benchmark that closed in the red, (-0.2%) on Friday. It erased the earlier gain at the start of February with -0.94% for the week. The imminent correction is a technical play out of the Bearish Divergence pattern that was highlighted over the last two weeks.

With current implied volatility of $SPX remaining low in the week of correction, the technical structure of $SPX uptrend channel remains intact. Any signs of further weakness in this rally will require the first break of immediate classical support at 3,870.

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