Summary: picking through the garbage to see if any value left for future. bankruptcy or big move in 5-10 years. Rolling short puts into stock for potential change based on new catalyst of joint venture.
key concepts:
Sizing- Having enough but not too much of an investment idea in a portfolio.
Risk/reward- Assigning probabilities to various up and down scenarios. Choosing exposure based on opportunity.
Expected returns- Factoring most likely outcomes of decisions and positions. Long options vs stock for example.
Survivability- Choosing a trade structure or vehicle that allows ability to endure wild adverse moves.
FATSO- 5 level of analysis acronym.
F- fed not pivoting yet, but hints at easing and market likes that.
A- accounting wise plby is beat up and priced for potential bankruptcy at low price/sales, price/book.
T- Technical trend shows its still in downtrend, some volume accumulation, way below 200 day ma
S- social sentiment, used to be popular meme stock, some young crowd still follows, did nfts so associated, low hype now
0- options view is still very volatile, high IV, stock price is so low that trading the options doesnt make much sense
*stocks below 5$ are penny stocks, so many institutions cant even hold the shares if their mandates wont allow.
warning: penny stocks are risky and will lose you money. this is not advice. you will lose money.
key concepts:
Sizing- Having enough but not too much of an investment idea in a portfolio.
Risk/reward- Assigning probabilities to various up and down scenarios. Choosing exposure based on opportunity.
Expected returns- Factoring most likely outcomes of decisions and positions. Long options vs stock for example.
Survivability- Choosing a trade structure or vehicle that allows ability to endure wild adverse moves.
FATSO- 5 level of analysis acronym.
F- fed not pivoting yet, but hints at easing and market likes that.
A- accounting wise plby is beat up and priced for potential bankruptcy at low price/sales, price/book.
T- Technical trend shows its still in downtrend, some volume accumulation, way below 200 day ma
S- social sentiment, used to be popular meme stock, some young crowd still follows, did nfts so associated, low hype now
0- options view is still very volatile, high IV, stock price is so low that trading the options doesnt make much sense
*stocks below 5$ are penny stocks, so many institutions cant even hold the shares if their mandates wont allow.
warning: penny stocks are risky and will lose you money. this is not advice. you will lose money.
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