CPI inflation data forward-looking, personal forward-looking gui

Tomorrow is the release of cpi data. Judging from the volatile and sideways trend, tomorrow's market should be very big. Here I believe that many investors still want to know, I am more inclined to cpi is falling or rising.

From the perspective of data expectations, the previous value is 4.9%, and the expected value is 4.1%. The gap in the middle is still relatively large. Maybe everyone thinks that the rate of inflation will not fall so quickly. With a high probability, most people think that the announced value will be greater than expected, but less than the previous value. But I personally prefer less than expected. In this way, the impact on the data is data bullish for gold, but the trend of gold prices will show a performance of rising first and then falling.

Because when inflation falls, the first wave of bets on market funds must be bullish on gold as shown by the data. But at the same time, when inflation falls, it means that real interest rates in the United States are rising. Correspondingly, when the first wave of market funds broke out, the market sentiment returned to rationality, which brought about a new stage of selling of gold. Therefore, it is more inclined to pull up strongly in the short term, and it is expected to reach around 1980. Then began a new round of shocks and fell, and entered the trend of 1930-1980 range shocks. The above is my expectation for the high probability trend of the future market. Of course, it is only a personal forward-looking guideline. In the end, market data shall prevail.

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The current price of gold is around 1952-1951, and we can look for opportunities to go long in light positions. If it continues to decline, we can choose an opportunity to enter the market at 1942-1941 standard positions. Set your own stop loss of $6-7.

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The rebound market is good, waiting for the stop profit point

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In the past two days, the trend of gold has been relatively repeated. Many people can't bear their temper and always want to make a few short-term orders back and forth to relieve their itch. But what I want to tell you is that this is the darkness before dawn, and the gold market outlook Or the medium-term operation direction will be re-established in a period of time in the future. According to historical experience statistics, the more such a moment is, the stronger the market reshuffle will be!

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