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Cooled private employment readings lower nonfarm estimates

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Yesterday, the ADP Nonfarm Employment change tracking the private sector showed 132,000 workers joined the labor market, significantly lower than the expected 300,000. The lackluster result raised doubts about the nonfarm payrolls provided by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, which also has a 300,000 estimate for the month of August.

If the official figures also disappoint, the Federal Reserve is more likely to opt for a 50 bps rate hike rather than a 75 bps one. However, USD/CAD still managed to rise to 1.3127, currently trading at 1.3161, Canada's GDP growth was at 0.1% as predicted. USD/JPY first closed at 138.96, then reached a record high not seen after 1998, jumping to 139.53.

Regarding other major currencies, EUR/USD briefly went below the parity level again, but soon recovered to 1.0057. Eurozone’s headline inflation rate slightly surpassed original projections at 9.1%, and investors expect tonight’s German retail sales to record fewer losses. GBP/USD slid from 1.1692 to 1.1622, while the Aussie declined to 0.6839 against the greenback.

Gold futures declined to $1,726.2 an ounce. Yet another pipeline maintenance from Russia to Europe tightened the energy supply on the continent, and despite falling Crude Oil Inventories, WTI oil futures dropped and stabilized at $89.00 a barrel, before closing at 89.55.

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