EURUSD rebound appears elusive below 1.0930

2023년 12월 4일

EURUSD floats above 100-SMA on early Monday, after posting the first weekly loss in three. However, the quote remains well below the key resistance confluence surrounding 1.0930, which comprises the 50-SMA, the bottom line of a monthly bullish channel and a downward-sloping trend line from November 29. It’s worth noting that the RSI rebound from the oversold territory allows the Euro pair to lick its wounds but the bearish MACD signals and sustained trading below the key upside hurdle keep the sellers hopeful. Even if the quote crosses the 1.0930 resistance, a fortnight-old rising trend line and the stated channel’s top line, close to 1.1050 and 1.1130 in that order, will test the pair buyers.

On the contrary, the 100-SMA and a 13-day-old horizontal support zone, respectively near 1.0870 and 1.0830, restrict the short-term downside of the EURUSD pair. Following that, the early November swing high of around 1.0750 will act as the final defense of the Euro buyers before opening the door for the bears to aim for the October swing high of around 1.0670. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.0670, it becomes vulnerable to drop towards the previous monthly low surrounding 1.0515.

Overall, EURUSD bears are in command despite the pair’s latest consolidation. However, the RSI conditions and this week’s US jobs report will be crucial to watch for clear directions.