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EUR/USD Displays Resilience Following a Downturn on Positive...

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EUR/USD Displays Resilience Following a Downturn on Positive US Data

EUR/USD is demonstrating resilience, rebounding from a recent decline. The exchange rate is currently trading around 1.0540 during the Asian trading session on Friday. Despite reaching weekly highs on Thursday, the EUR/USD pair faced a slight pullback, primarily due to favorable economic data coming out of the United States.

The US economic landscape has been dynamic, underscoring the strength of the US Dollar (USD). Notably, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September surpassed expectations, revealing a consistent annual expansion of 3.7%, slightly outperforming the estimated 3.6%.

Additionally, the Initial Jobless Claims data for the week ending on October 6 displayed a modest increase of 209K, which was slightly below the projected 210K. This suggests a subtle easing in jobless claims, further boosting confidence in the US economy.

Thursday's economic data also showcased a surge in the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for September on a yearly basis, rising from 2.0% to 2.2%. Furthermore, the Core PPI exhibited an even more significant increase, climbing to 2.7%, surpassing expectations that it would ease to 2.3%.

These robust economic indicators have rekindled discussions about the potential direction of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy. The upbeat data has added complexity to the ongoing narrative, sparking speculation about how the Fed might respond.

In contrast, the Eurozone is taking a more cautious approach, influenced by concerns about a slowing economy that could potentially lead to a recession. As a result, it appears that further rate hikes by the European Central Bank (ECB) may not be on the horizon for the time being. This cautious stance could undermine the EUR/USD pair.

Investors are keeping a close eye on the release of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index scheduled for Friday. This index serves as a crucial gauge of consumer confidence and provides insights into broader economic sentiment. Continued analysis of these indicators is likely to shape expectations and decisions in the EUR/USD pair. From a technical standpoint, the price today may be in the process of recovering from the pronounced dip it experienced yesterday. A pullback within the 38.2-50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement area indicates a fair value gap to recoup before potentially experiencing a new bearish impulse in line with the prevailing trend.
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