Volatility Compression Ratio by M-Carlo

2022년 12월 22일

Hello traders. I created this simple indicator to use as a FILTER.
He does not provide any operational signals but tells us if we are in a period of volatility compression or expansion and it can work on all market.
This filter works great for all strategies that work on breakouts
The concept is this: I will enter at breakout of a price level that I consider important, only if there is a volatility compression and not in the case of expansion of volatility.

Technically the calculation is very simple:

Step 1: I calculate the ATR at "x" periods, I set 7 by default because I get better results but you can change it as you like using the "atr length" field. You can also choose whether to calculate the ATR via RMA, SMA or EMA.

Step 2: I Calculate a simple average of the previous ATR over a longer period, longer period than set with the "length multiplier" parameter, which multiplies the "atr length" value by "x" times. Here I set the default 3 but you can change it as you like.

Step 3: I divide the ATR value calculated in step1 by its long-term average calculated in step2, obtaining a value that will oscillate above and below the value of 1

So:
if the indicator is above the value of 1 it means that volatility is expanding
If the indicator is below the value of 1 it means that we are in a period of volatility compression (and as we know volatility explodes sooner or later)

If you have any questions write to me and I hope this filter helps you! Have good Trading!