OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT

Trend Duration Forecast [ChartPrime]

6 275
⯁ OVERVIEW
The Trend Duration Forecast [ChartPrime] indicator is designed to estimate the probable lifespan of a bullish or bearish trend. Using a Hull Moving Average (HMA) to detect directional shifts, it tracks the duration of each historical trend and calculates an average to forecast how long the current trend is statistically likely to continue. This allows traders to visualize both real-time trend strength and potential exhaustion zones with exceptional clarity.

⯁ KEY FEATURES
  • Dynamic Trend Detection: Utilizes the Hull Moving Average to identify when price transitions into a new uptrend or downtrend.
    스냅샷
  • Trend Duration Counting: Measures the number of bars in each completed bullish and bearish phase to understand trend persistence.
    스냅샷
  • Forecast Projection: Automatically projects an estimated trend continuation line based on the average length of recent trends.
    스냅샷
  • Real-Time Updates: Continuously updates the “Real Length” label as the trend develops.
    스냅샷
  • Historical Data Table: Displays previous trend durations for both bullish and bearish cycles, along with their averages.
    스냅샷
  • Adaptive Sampling: Uses a customizable sample size to smooth out volatility in the forecast and provide statistically meaningful projections.
  • Color-Based Clarity: Highlights uptrends in green and downtrends in orange for instant visual interpretation.


⯁ USAGE
  • Use the Trend Detection Sensitivity setting to control how fast or slow the indicator reacts to trend changes — lower values increase responsiveness, while higher values smooth out noise.
    스냅샷
  • Compare the Real Length of the ongoing trend with the Probable Length forecast to estimate whether the move is nearing exhaustion.
    스냅샷
  • Observe the historical duration table to understand the average lifespan of trends in the current market structure.
    스냅샷
  • Use the color-coded HMA line and projection arrows to identify when momentum strength is fading and prepare for possible reversals.
  • Ideal for swing or trend-following strategies where trend longevity is crucial to managing entries and exits effectively.


⯁ CONCLUSION
The Trend Duration Forecast [ChartPrime] gives traders a quantitative edge by combining real-time trend tracking with statistical forecasting. It helps identify not only when a new trend begins, but also how long it’s likely to persist based on past market behavior. This indicator enhances timing precision for both entries and exits, supporting smarter trend-following decisions with clear, data-driven insights.

면책사항

이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.