XLM: Consolidating with Bullish Potential

9월 15일

XLM is maintaining its recent gains near $0.0969, showing a gradual uptrend. The market sentiment around Stellar remains bullish, especially with the ongoing expansion of its USDC cash services via MoneyGram and its strengthened utility in cross-border payments. This is driving renewed attention and accumulation from market participants, supporting the token’s upward momentum.

1H Chart Analysis: Awaiting Breakout

On the 1-hour timeframe, XLM is consolidating just below the upper Bollinger Band ($0.0974), indicating a possible breakout. The RSI at 53.27 suggests there is room for more upside, though momentum appears to be pausing as the MACD remains neutral. Support sits at $0.0960, with strong resistance at $0.0974.

Support: $0.0960
Resistance: $0.0974
MACD: Flat with slight bullish divergence

4H Chart Analysis: Signs of Bullish Exhaustion

On the 4-hour timeframe, XLM is testing key resistance at $0.0980 (Upper Bollinger Band), while the RSI is elevated at 63.69, approaching overbought conditions. The Stochastic oscillator is already in overbought territory, which might indicate the need for a pullback before a further push higher.

The MACD on the 4H chart shows a bearish histogram (-0.0001), which signals slowing momentum. However, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) at 16.027B suggests strong underlying buying pressure. The ADX at 29.09 shows a moderately strong trend, implying that XLM could still push higher, but momentum is slowing.

Support: $0.0939 (Lower BB)
Resistance: $0.0980 (Upper BB)
MACD: Slightly Bearish
ADX: 29.09 (Moderate Trend Strength)

Overall Outlook & Actionable Strategy

Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $0.0980 (4H resistance) could pave the way for XLM to test the $0.10 psychological barrier. A strong push past this level may trigger more aggressive buying, targeting $0.1050 and beyond. Traders should watch for confirmation via rising volume and a bullish crossover on the MACD.

Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break $0.0980 could lead to a consolidation phase or a pullback toward $0.0960 (1H support) or even $0.0939 (4H support). With RSI and Stochastic indicators showing potential overbought conditions on the 4H chart, caution is advised if upward momentum weakens.

Action Point:
Watch for a breakout above $0.0980 for bullish confirmation. Traders should consider setting tight stop-losses near $0.0960, in case of a pullback. Given the strong OBV and growing utility of the Stellar network, XLM remains a bullish candidate, especially if market-wide sentiment stays positive.