day0

BTC possible longer bottom (ending DEC 2022) & 2023 increase

day0 업데이트됨   
BITMEX:XBT   비트코인
One of many possible uncertain outcomes that we may face is the path of a "longer bottom". However, after the bottom has greater confirmation ("measure in weeks"), then we may likely see the increase around 2023-01 to 2025-01. Significant variables that arise over the next 29 months can rapidly shift the markets; both up and down unexpectedly (the known unknown market-shaping variables).
코멘트:
BTC 2022-05 to 2022-09 4h forecast
코멘트:
It's very possible that we will see below 17k between 2022-11-11 & 2023-04-04 ; however, I left it out of this view. It could be very short lived at those levels.
코멘트:
Possible decrease until September 1st. Then pre-payday increase to around September 6, 2022, followed by a decrease from September 6, 2022 to October 1, 2022.
코멘트:
With Global Market Uncertainty, BTC is still experiencing a "longer flatter bottom".
Inverted Yield Curve Monitor:
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VIX ("The Fear Index") is also on the rise reflecting "uncertainty" in the global markets.
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BTC: very clear down trend (past 15 days)
코멘트:
still in play. click the play button.
코멘트:
It is very possible that the longer flatter bottom can be extended until 2023-03-22. The unlikely and very latest that the bottom may occur is estimated to be 2023-09-19. However, it's never a good idea to "wait until the last minute" either. Between 2022-11-11 and 2023-09-09, it is also possible that here may be a "flash crash" that dips neat 9.8k; however it would be a very short duration to confirm the ultra lowest point possible for this halving cycle; meaning war or climate or viruses may cause a temporarily generated flash bottom like there was in 2020-03 (depending on what expected challenges and variables occur over the next 12 months).
코멘트:
As WW3 escalates (as expected by most analysts), 2023 may experience a "longer flatter bottom" as well. If WW3 did not escalate as much, then this forecast would be more precise for 2022. However, this forecast clearly states and increase in 2023, but does not say which quarter of 2023. This was intentional with the "known uncertainty" for the Q1 2023 start of the next official recession.

So if the official announcement of the recession is announced on 2023-01-06 then, BTC will fall from 2023-01 to 2023-03.

The very latest that day0 predictive analysis is forecasting the TOTAL & BTC very bottom is near or during 2023-09. However, this is without WW3 escalating too far into the interconnected blockchain markets; in terms of market price.

This forecast ends on 2022-12-31 for all of the reasons mentioned above. For the year 2023 and later, please view the day0 monthly extended long-term forecast here:
코멘트:
Reminder: Diesel fuel expect to run out on 2022-11-19 in US & Europe. Perhaps, this shortage maybe felt at the diesel pumps around 2022-12-12. Check news & energy departments for updates.
코멘트:
2022-12-27 small increase that decreases before 2023-01-16.
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2023 Q1 & Q2 bear. Q3 (flat) & Q4 slightly bull. mostly as recession risks increase along with WW3/WW4 activities.
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Still on a relatively flat, then downward trend:
코멘트:
Roughly $25,555 could be next peak, before next dip.
코멘트:
$24,666.66 then decline for 2023-02
코멘트:
BTC may find bottom by 2023-06-06, after there is more historical data available.
코멘트:
BTC may find bottom by 2023-06-06 (daily) (2022-01 to 2024-01):
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BTC repeating trend of 2022-07 & 2022-08 (possible double bottom or "longer flatter bottom", before the steady rise to the estimated peak of 2025-01):
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The hunt for BTC bottom:

This is a daily view of an alternative path that reflects a green path near $32666 to $36666, followed by a downtrend to near the $19666 zone. This is in addition to the blue & pink lines reflecting a bottom near the $14666 to $17666 zones (around 2023-06-06 plus or minus 1-month).
an hour ago

BTC repeating trend of 2022-07 & 2022-08 (possible double bottom or "longer flatter bottom", before the steady rise to the estimated peak of 2025-01):
코멘트:
BTC may stop declining before 2023-12.
BTC weekly 2022-03 to 2023-08
BTC weekly chart from 2022-03 to 2023-08 reflects a $36666.66 to $15666.66 zone for 2023-04 (see green dashed-line). However, the strongest resistance zones, based off of today's historical data (on 2023-02-28), reflect a $32666.66 to $15666.66 zone for 2023-08-28 (see pink dashed-line).
코멘트:
News: "Economist Harry Dent Expects Biggest Crash in Our Lifetime"
" Bitcoin may go down more like 95%, 96%. Dent expects the crypto market may crash alongside stocks, with BTC falling up to 95%-96% from its November 2021 high. "
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코멘트:
There is a very high probability that BTC will decrease significantly from 2023-8-15 to 2024-01-15. Especially in 2023-12. recession prediction = 2024-01
코멘트:
recession prediction = 2024-01
코멘트:
This idea should expire on the original chart at the very top around 2024-02-02 to 2024-04-04 (roughly).
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(click chart to play)
BTCUSDT 1W 2022-12 to 2024-02:
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$150000 to $250000 is still very possible for 2025
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