GOLD Awaits Jackson Hole Speeches, Holding Above $1,900 Support

Gold Awaits Jackson Hole Speeches, Holding Above $1,900 Support

As the financial world eagerly awaits the high-profile central bankers' speeches at the Jackson Hole Symposium, the price of gold (XAU/USD) has embarked on a nuanced trajectory. After reversing from its fortnightly peak, gold is now consolidating its first weekly gains. This intricate dance of price movements unfolds against the backdrop of a few key factors, notably firmer US Treasury bond yields and the resurgence of the US Dollar.

The recent movement in US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar has cast a shadow on the trajectory of gold prices. This dynamic has been responsible for the metal's retreat from its recent two-week high. However, it's important to note that the weekly decline in gold prices can also be attributed to a pullback in bond yields, which soared to multi-year highs earlier in the week before retracing slightly.

The landscape has been further complicated by positive details emerging from the US Durable Goods Orders report for July, along with sturdy mid-tier economic indicators and employment-related cues. These factors have provided ammunition for second-tier officials within the Federal Reserve to champion a hawkish monetary policy stance, thereby lending strength to the US Dollar.

Despite these headwinds, certain factors have acted as pillars of support for gold. Early-week releases of August Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data, as well as improved sentiment surrounding US-China relations and expectations of additional stimulus from China, have provided a stabilizing effect on XAU/USD prices.

Moreover, the behavior of the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) has sent mixed signals concerning the ongoing process of dedollarization. This, in turn, has nudged gold buyers as they seek to decipher the implications of these shifting global dynamics.

Amidst this intricate tapestry of forces, the price of gold has managed to remain above the psychologically significant $1,900 support level. As policymakers' cues regarding the potential conclusion of the hawkish monetary cycle come into play, it's plausible that buyers could re-enter the market. Notably, attention is laser-focused on the imminent speeches of two key central bank figures: Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), and Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve (Fed).

The market is keen to decipher the nuances of their speeches, seeking any indications that could potentially shape the future direction of monetary policy. These speeches are anticipated to inject a significant dose of volatility into the gold market, with their impact rippling through the financial landscape for the foreseeable future. As the world holds its collective breath, gold remains delicately poised, ready to respond to the verbal cues that will emanate from the symposium.

Our preference

Long positions above 1907.00 with targets at 1930.00 & 1935.00 in extension.

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