fra978

GOLD (XAU) 15min - EW cycles: Wave (C)

fra978 업데이트됨   
OANDA:XAUUSD   골드 스팟 / 미국 달러
We are going above than expected in the last idea (linked below), but i still think that we are in a Wave (C) before of a new low (to 1640 - 20 area), according with my counts.
Precisely, it looks to me that we stay inside the last 5th wave of a "zigzag" ABC (5-3-5) where the first 5 (the relative A) are a w-x-y-x-z.

I stay convicted that we are into a big correction so far, and only a break above 1826 (the final confirmation would be 1840) will invalidates this count.

So, here is published the whole counts from March 8 in 15 min TF to monitoring what happens.

Final levels to watch at (if 1790 will breaks) are: 1804, 1806, 1811, 1815, SLs should be above 1826 - 30 levels.

Above that area i think this idea of the C will be invalidated cause in that case we may stay into the new Bull Cycle (the big 5th wave, precisely 3rd of 5th).

I will post comments with updates of the counts here and on my old idea (on bigger tf).

"Like with Cheers" would be appreciate if u like my work, thanks you so much! ;)

May the pips be with you...
코멘트:
Closer view of the last 5 waves up inside the count of (C):
코멘트:
Higher tf view:
코멘트:
this remains valid untill 1760 will breaks down:
코멘트:
ok, looks like we make a double 5 inside the 5th wave (extended)?
코멘트:
this abcde as wave 4 could be a possibility:
코멘트:
this is another possibility:
코멘트:
there is also the possibility that the 5th is already done:
코멘트:
this is another possibile scenario cause i see a missing wave 5th so far (its also possibile that will ends with a failed one): the key could be in the bottom TL of that ending diagonal, a break below that might be a fall.
코멘트:
Actually we hedged 1780 and 83 with stops below the bottom trendline, lets see if this is an overlapped wave 3 inside the diagonal:
코멘트:
코멘트:
:D
코멘트:
hedged here lets see this could also a wave 3 in downside.
코멘트:
BE CAREFULL, this is possibile:
코멘트:
btw, the PA looking like we might stay inside a B wave, so this would be the counter count:
코멘트:
Eyes on 1757:
코멘트:
But... this count is still in play and perfectly valid atm: be carefull
코멘트:
OK, when my worst nightmares looks they are coming true... this might be a correct count for the wave 5. Hoping that i'm wrong cause im holding shorts.
코멘트:
this marker would invalidates the subcount of the green path (hoping that)
코멘트:
first sign of invalidation arrived:
코멘트:
Ok, i got an alternative count that would fits in terms of bear cycle. lets see how it will developes.


코멘트:
on smaller tf we may stay inside the first wave of the bigger 3 in downside:
코멘트:
Makes sense and would fits perfectly to the rest of the previuos count that i have:
코멘트:
The updates will posted on the new idea, here: (click to see it).
주문취소됨:
This idea is not more valid-
면책사항

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