GOLD - Gravity

Everything that went up comes down sooner or later this planet.
It's a sure thing just like the cycles.

When price is starting to move down into the DCL the first red day of the decline usually has a 50% pullback.
So most probably we will tag 1535 before we turn down as shown below:

All the indicators are showing divergences on the daily chart. MACD and TSI crossed over.

The dollar is breaking up, the Euro is breaking down and stocks are in a rally mode again.
Liquidity is going out of the metals. Palladium might be an exception though.


Don't forget Monday is Labor day in the USA. Market holiday. After yesterday's drop traders of the USA will use every bounce to get rid of gold and miners positions ahead of the weekend.
So any bounce in the European markets will be sold in the USA.

코멘트:

RSI was not in the oversold territory since May. After a 4 months rally it's time to get oversold again.
I haven't seen a real daily cycle low for months now. Maybe the 1st of July drop but it was very shallow.
If there is no daily cycle low I used to call the market a Relay Run Market where price is just trending up without DCLs where traders are chasing the price and buying every dip. It's like the relay run every position is sold is immediately bought buy another trader who thinks price is going up again : and it is.
Of course this will not last forever: this ends up with a crash. A 30-40$ down day when everybody is looking for the exit door.

코멘트:

Quite interesting things are happening on the currency markets . The dollar breaking out. The euro broke down.

코멘트:

Death, taxes , gravity.

코멘트:

Bulls' last hope broken down:

코멘트:

Swing high in silver.
If silver tops. The whole
Metal sector will go down.
If you are still sitting in the metals long consider: it’s crowded by dumb money who entered late in this rally.

코멘트:

I started to long gold in 2019 May.

As the title said it was straight story.

코멘트:

This is gravity.

코멘트:

RobinChong“something ive noticed is this guy is usually too early but eventually gets it right. wait a few more days to add”
Nobody is perfect.

코멘트:

NFP might push it up again but I would not try to buy the dip here.
We might be heading straight int the ICL after this runaway rally.
There was no real DCL during the last 4 months so it can be ugly. I hope noone bought /added at the top day before yesterday.

코멘트:

Adding to the short position.

코멘트:

Next stop is at 1493. Probably on Monday or Tuesday.

코멘트:

God is holding up quite well .

코멘트:

Silver looks worse. Another -3% day.
We might backtest 16 during the ICL.

코멘트:

New low.

코멘트:

Typical trap. Smartmoney is creating a false rally - with the rallying dollar LMAO- to get rid of gold longs.

코멘트:

And now when all of them closed the miner longs and gold longs we are just dropping like a rock.

코멘트:

Every possible trendline is broken of the bull flag.

코멘트:

코멘트:

I think the DCL will manifest with a stop run below 1483 with the tag of the 50 EMA.
Than we get a bounce and a move down into the ICL in late october.

코멘트:

ALERT !

코멘트:

They are trying to push it to a new low. If there is a stop run I'M going to close the position in the drop.

매매 수동청산:

I'm closing the gold shorts today.
I'm afraid that the falling stock and rallying dollar combo will push gold up in the following days so a week later we can short it again from 1540$.

코멘트:

Profit : 35$
From 1530 to 1495$

코멘트:

Good that we’ve exited on FOMC night.
I was expecting this bounce but I don’t think it can make a higher high above 1560.

코멘트:

Be ready for the next short idea.
We are going to ride the panic selling. The reward is around 100$ per ounce.

매매 수동청산: