The VIX remains within the November 2016 bear trend, highlighting potential downside risks in the coming weeks.
However, signs of stabilisation are appearing as bearish stochastics and momentum studies continue to unwind. Strengthening in the Tension Indicator (not shown) also suggests improvement, with further downside risks expected to remain limited.
A break below psychological support at 10.00 cannot be ruled out, but further supports down to the 9.70 low of February 2007 should underpin downside risks. An unexpected close below the critical contract lows at the 8.89 low of December 1993 is needed to confirm continuation of the broader bear trend from late 2008.
Expectations, however, are for consolidation to give way to fresh gains, with a later break above the 13.28 high of 19 January looked for. A close above the 14.72 high of December 2016 is needed to improve price action and promote stability/trend change.
However, signs of stabilisation are appearing as bearish stochastics and momentum studies continue to unwind. Strengthening in the Tension Indicator (not shown) also suggests improvement, with further downside risks expected to remain limited.
A break below psychological support at 10.00 cannot be ruled out, but further supports down to the 9.70 low of February 2007 should underpin downside risks. An unexpected close below the critical contract lows at the 8.89 low of December 1993 is needed to confirm continuation of the broader bear trend from late 2008.
Expectations, however, are for consolidation to give way to fresh gains, with a later break above the 13.28 high of 19 January looked for. A close above the 14.72 high of December 2016 is needed to improve price action and promote stability/trend change.