moneyflow_trader

Challenge my Elliot Wave Count Looking for $95 Oil

moneyflow_trader 업데이트됨   
TVC:USOIL   WTI 크루드 오일 CFDs
Here's another Elliot Wave Count Challenge. You know Traders talking in code...

1) Looking for price stability above $65-$64 range
2) Have what appears to be a 4x bottom from 2022 on Oil
3) Best buy would be above resistances at $75
4) Target is $95 which is at wave 2
5) The Elliot Wave movement from Wave 1-4 is a bullish cypher set up, think of Wave 2 as B leg
6) True Bullish Momentum with a close above $95 target, could lead future price action to a target of $130
7) I expect some shakeout after the chart gets posted..

I'm a buyer of the dips in GUSH ERX and some Oil Companies BP, XOM, and Small Cap energy PSCE

Just sharing my Technical Analysis.. This is a long Term play for me
코멘트:
Monitoring DRIP for a short set up, The Puts are expensive here... There's no $14.50 put strike...
코멘트:
from May 31st... would like to get in the short above $15, maybe a retrace back to B leg then short. I'll keep you posted if I enter a short.. Regardless Oil market was a win for both sides of the trade... It was up over 1.1%-1.2% earlier in the day, now down close to 1% as I type this... Great if you're stalking a long entry for oil companies like myself... Also this pop, makes the put options cheaper for $drip. Stay tuned
코멘트:
late update.... Market Volatility is Insane and I'm here for it.. Notice DRIP did manage to get above $15, but retrace back below.. Another day wont hurt monitoring, actually Friday price action in Oil is going to say a lot. I'm taking anything below $67 and holding at this Juncture... below $68 and im nibbling and starting a position. Got to be greedy when getting these entries. Same w/ the short position on DRIP I want to start it near $15.50 and I might not get it... here's the chart I was monitoring
코멘트:
see that $15.07 touch, and how Previous Support rejected a close above it. Let me see one more day like that for confirmation. I'm feeling good about it, I dont want to over think it. But i'm considering putting significant resources into the short, want to increase the odds of a favorable short... cheers to the next update
코멘트:
4hr view of oil.... RSI still above the cloud which is bearish.. even though we have a C wave by set up.. Bulls have to defend $67.00, shorts want to cover near this level if they can push it down.
코멘트:
This Channel I spotted goes back to Mid March. You'll also notice the long wick that tested $64.00, that would be a perfect long entry for me. 3x bottoms from May, and likely creating a 4th near $67.00... Timing these entries are difficult, but find a entry price you can live with.
코멘트:
I can also see some bearishness forming on the 30min chart of oil. If oil breaches $68.20 on good volume, it opens the door for $66.88.. I could live w/ that entry. for my long scalps and it also being a good entry for my shorts on the 2x-3x oil bear etfs... No guarantees, but victory favors the bold. And good profits are determined by entries not when you sell. We'll see if we can get this Friday
코멘트:
Great Bounce off last night lows... something else that I see, is the Bullish ABCD pattern set up on the weekly and daily chart.. here is the weekly view
코멘트:
red box to help illustrate my point just need price stability over $68-67.50 to hold now
코멘트:
puts on DRIP printing $
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bullish cypher on the 4hr chart... Needs to close over B leg $70.78, not rushing... bears got to defend that. But based on my analysis and where I see oil heading, below this level is now a buying opportunity
코멘트:
there are multiple of these if you look closely
코멘트:
see the ABCDE to the right of the bullish cypher?
코멘트:
think of this as the Breakout from the June Channel
코멘트:
if shorts can't defend the bullish push, opens door for $83
코멘트:
the breakout is retracing backwards to get the May channel breakout... if that makes sense.. you see the June breakout, but not the May breakout. it'll make sense later last chart for the day. hope yall in profits on the oil 3x bear etf shorts and the oil trades. cheers til Friday
코멘트:
multiple cup/handle patterns forming inside a larger cup/handle pattern..
코멘트:
bullish patterns can be overbought on specific time frames to lead to higher breakouts just showing love and education to the trading community. cheers
코멘트:
now the picture is getting more clearer . I hope this helps
코멘트:
this is the 4th cup and handle pattern
코멘트:
we're buying all dips on Oil
코멘트:
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by any dip Sunday/Monday
코멘트:
track my live cup and handle chart
코멘트:
Lets see if the 2hr can get it done on this cup and handle breakout. I'm aggressively looking for $74 min target on oil, w/ max 75 potentially by Friday's close
코멘트:
what I'm monitoring on the 4hr chart
코멘트:
apex forming, live chart
코멘트:
crude oil mini's showing me $74, AD ascending Triangle... letting me know the Apex Trade is in favor of the bulls mini crude showing me $74, AD showing an Ascending Triangle
코멘트:
this ascending triangle is letting me know the apex trade is in favor of the bulls.. I'm going to be patient til then.
코멘트:
been running wild... Needs to close above 74.75, i'm targeting BP
코멘트:
monitoring July 7th resistances level, which is currently acting as support
코멘트:
saw BP at the end of the day, but i'm still waiting for $74.74 to clear... Looking at some $35.50-$36 calls...
코멘트:
72.50-73 oil in my cross hairs, will be adding BP on the dips
코멘트:
looking for $37 over the next week
코멘트:
코멘트:
potential bull flag set up
코멘트:
monitoring this profit taking/sell off in bp
코멘트:
gotta watch and see if 77's hold up
코멘트:
drip etf starting to look attractive monitoring
코멘트:
retest of highs in order for oil, also price is stabilizing above the 1.618 on the 1hr,
코멘트:
retest came quickly sheesh
코멘트:
moving avg's along w/ support need to cross over 78.99 which is B leg of the bullish cypher
코멘트:
we want to see a oil cup and handle breakout and close above 80
코멘트:
b leg has to hold on the 30min
코멘트:
코멘트:
same chart, same time frame as the 30min above... just wanted to show how the bullish cypher resistances levels, have been temp flipped to support. A close above $80.10 level would support this
코멘트:
bull flag was playing peek boo
코멘트:
anyone else see the ascending triangle?
코멘트:
all this is, is one massive bull flag in disguise
코멘트:
코멘트:
might see 81+ on oil today if/when my 18ema/50 EMA cross spike level
코멘트:
monitor the 4hr chart for possible retrace to 77
코멘트:
monitoring, and currently short via futures
코멘트:
코멘트:
closed the oil short scalp, oil is in an ascending triangle on the 4hr chart
코멘트:
1month view update w/ AD
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코멘트:
charts are just forecasts, to help better suit me in reacting to what the market will do. Being able to predict is one thing, but being able to capitalize on it is another. speaking from experience. im not causing the market to react, my trading is reacting to what I thought the market did do, and is doing.
코멘트:
monitor possible bear flag what im reacting to. too a short
매매 수동청산:
short
코멘트:
drip (3x oil bear etf)
액티브 트레이드:
shorts closed looking for 83
코멘트:
my analysis for oil retest of 83 (live chart) www.tradingview.com/...ooking-to-retest-83/
코멘트:
hit 83
매매 수동청산:
taking profits above 83.50 cheers
코멘트:
코멘트:
will be a buyer of this bull flag breakout
코멘트:
코멘트:
raising oil target to $110
코멘트:
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