USDT: Funds focused on individuals (groups), USDC: Funds focused

2023년 5월 7일

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(USDT chart)


(USDC chart)


I think that USDT and USDC are used as a channel for the inflow and outflow of funds into the coin market.

Among them, USDT has a high market cap, so I think it has as much influence on the coin market.


Looking at the USDT chart, we can see that it has risen to near the previous high.

Therefore, it can be seen that the coin market is overflowing with funds.


However, if you look at the USDC chart, it has fallen a lot, making it look like the funds flowing into USDT are stagnant.

In other words, it can be interpreted that the money inflow through USDT is trying to lead the coin market to rise, but the outflow of money through USDC limits the rise or makes it fall.


Therefore, I think it is better to buy coins (tokens) that you intend to continue investing in until the BTC halving next year.

Otherwise, if you are going to trade in terms of day trading or short-term trading, I think you need to be very careful.


The inflow of new money is expressed as an increase creating a gap.

Therefore, the size of the candle does not matter.

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(BTC.D chart)

Looking at the BTC dominance chart, it is forming a rising channel.

However, the 1M chart has not yet created an upward channel and is showing an expansion.

Therefore, the possibility of a downtrend at any time still exists.

However, if it does not fall below 46.76-46.84, it is expected that it will lead to a move above 50.49 in the near future.


We believe this move is due to the BTC halving next year.

This is because the possibility that funds that are unable to find a place to go in the coin market will be concentrated toward BTC due to an event called BTC Halving next year is increasing.

However, what BTC dominance tells us is whether funds are concentrated in BTC or altcoins.

Any other interpretation can lead to confusion, so it's best not to think about it.

Concentration of funds towards BTC means that BTC is leading the coin market.

Since there is no guarantee that this lead will necessarily lead to a rise in the coin market, you should check the USDT.D chart to see if the coin market is rising.

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(USDT.D chart)

The USDT Dominance Chart is a chart that allows you to see the flow of funds flowing into USDT.

Therefore, when USDT dominance declines, the coin market is likely to show an uptrend.

If USDT dominance is trending down and coins (tokens) with large market caps, such as BTC or ETH, show sideways movements, it is likely that coins (tokens) with lower market caps will pump in the short term. .

If you are not comfortable with day trading or short trading in these markets, we recommend that you do not trade.

Because you may miss a better buying opportunity than this.


USDT dominance is moving sideways in the 6.85-7.27 range.

This means that the direction has not yet been determined.


If you look at the 1M chart, it is in a state where a proper trend line or channel has not been formed.

Looking at the 1W chart, it shows a breakout from the downtrend line, downtrend channel.

Therefore, it can be seen that we have not yet found a direction in the mid- to long-term perspective.


When you can't find a direction like this, I think it's better not to trade or to proceed with a split purchase according to a trading strategy for coins (tokens) that will continue to invest in the mid- to long-term.

The basis for proceeding with the purchase is the movement of the USDT chart mentioned above.

In other words, since a lot of money is flowing into the coin market, it is not strange to see an upward trend at any time.


If you do not take any action when the unit price has risen by 30% or more from the unit price you purchased for mid- to long-term trading, you may end up selling at a lower price level because you keep feeling regretful when the stock fluctuates up and down.

Therefore, you need a strategy to sell a certain portion according to the rate of return or some standard according to your investment style.

This selling strategy is an important strategy because it can lead to a better buying strategy.

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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.

** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.

** This is a chart created with my know-how.

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2023년 5월 8일

노트

(USDT.D chart)

USDT dominance is rising above 7.27.

Therefore, if it rises above 7.52, it is judged that there is a possibility that the coin market will plunge.

If it fails to rise above 7.52 and moves sideways in the current section or falls again, the coin market is expected to continue sideways.


The other Market Cap charts, USDT, USDC, and BTC.D charts are showing similar movements as before.

Therefore, if the funds coming in through USDT do not flow out, it is expected to lead to the movement I mentioned in the BTC chart analysis.

2023년 5월 9일

노트

(USDT chart)

Funds are constantly flowing in through USDT.

Therefore, if the power of the accumulated funds is released, the coin market is expected to show a sharp rise.


Knowing that the size of your money is growing can provide you with important clues to crafting your trading strategy for the future.

This is because if you only look at the price change of the coin (token) you want to trade without knowing the accumulation of these funds and whether or not the size of the funds increases or decreases, the response may go in the wrong direction.

If the price of the coin (token) you want to trade drops while the size of your money is increasing, your trading strategy for the future can start by finding a turning point.

However, if you are not aware of the increase or decrease in the size of your funds, you will create a trading strategy when the price has recently risen above the point where it started to decline.

Therefore, since you start trading when the price has risen a lot, it means that you will start trading with that much psychological burden.

These psychological burdens and insecurities are likely to be an obstacle to continuing the transaction, so there is a possibility of missing out on more profits.


Therefore, knowing the increase or decrease in the size of the coin market funds means that you will eventually have the power to win your own psychological warfare.

Therefore, it is necessary to keep a close eye on changes in the USDT chart.

However, since the USDC chart continues to show a downward trend, we believe that funds inflow through USDT are limiting the upward trend of the coin market or rather encouraging a downward trend.


I believe that USDC is being used as a channel for institutional investors.

Therefore, I think the coin market is currently showing sideways as institutional investors are maintaining a wait-and-see attitude or outflowing funds as they are now.

We view the role of institutional investors as a match that can start an uptrend.

I think that if you light a fire once, you will be able to make a very big fire due to the large amount of money (firewood) flowed in through USDT.

2023년 5월 10일

노트

(USDT chart)

USDT is updating its new high (ATH).

Therefore, it can be seen that it is rising by about 26.28% at the time of the transition to an uptrend.

I think this flow is likely to be FOMO, but as long as the size of the funds is increasing, I think it should be interpreted that it is highly likely to lead to a sharp uptrend once there is an upward trend.


Currently, I believe the key to this uptrend is the movement of USDC.

(USDC chart)

This is because while USDT continues to rise, USDC maintains a downward trend.

This is because such a move could limit an uptrend to the coin market or lead a downtrend.

The reason is that USDC is seen as the main channel of funding for US capital, that is, US institutional investors.


USDT is also a channel for institutional investors or forces in each country, but it is also a channel for individual investors around the world.

Therefore, it is not easy to know which group's capital inflow is maintaining the upward trend of USDT.

Therefore, I think that the phenomenon of inflow into USDT will be capital focused on individual investors and create a trading strategy.


A big difference between individual investors and institutional investors lies in the difference in psychological impact.

Individual investors are psychologically influenced, but institutional investors are not.

The reason for this is that we do program trading because we trade with large funds.

Therefore, if institutional investors continue to buy until the point of conversion of individual investors' state of mind, then when FOMO of individual investors begins, it is believed that an upward trend that no one can easily stop will continue.



(BTC.D chart)


(USDT.D chart)


If you ask if it is possible to trade in the current coin market, "Yes, it is possible." I can tell you.

However, this transaction is applicable to day trading-oriented transactions.


A drop in BTC dominance means that funds are being concentrated towards altcoins.

Also, since it is showing signs of falling below the MS-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, the price movement of altcoins is expected to be more active than before.


However, looking at the current candlestick on the USDT Dominance 1D chart, it has risen above 7.27, so there is a possibility that it will eventually end with an uptrend for some coins (tokens) rather than an overall uptrend for altcoins.

Therefore, it is concluded that the current trade is possible to trade mainly on day tradnig.


As a condition for trading altcoins, when BTC dominance falls below the MS-Signal indicator and maintains a downward trend, USDT dominance must decline.

If you don't see any of these moves, you may not want to trade unless you are comfortable with day trading.


As I continue to tell you, when the BTC price is below 29K, it is a buy point for the medium and long term.

However, since it rises above 29K and shows a decline, it is good to check the turn.

2023년 5월 11일

노트

(DXY chart)

During the volatility period of May 10-12, it is moving out of the downtrend channel.

Therefore, it is necessary to check whether it can decline after receiving resistance around 102.020-103.494.


(SPX500USD chart)

Since the StochRSI indicator on the 1W and 1M charts is still in the overbought zone, it can be seen that the uptrend is strong.

However, since it turned into a bearish sign, the possibility of exiting the overbought zone is increasing.

Therefore, it becomes important to be able to rise with support around the section 4104.9-4137.1 where you are currently located.

if it goes down,
1st: 4045.2
2nd: 3931.2
You need to make sure that it is supported in the vicinity of the 1st and 2nd above.

During the volatility period between around May 16th and around the 24th, it is necessary to confirm which arrow will move out of the 4104.9-4137.1 section.


(NAS100USD chart)

During the volatility period of May 14-16, we need to see if there is a move out of the 13231.6-13480.9 zone.