200-DMA holds the gate for USDJPY bears

2022년 12월 12일

USDJPY fades bounce off the 200-DMA as it failed to cross the previous support line from late May. However, nearly oversold RSI challenges the sellers and hence a short-term consolidation between the 200-DMA and the support-turned-resistance line, respectively around 135.00 and 138.00, can’t be ruled out. Even if the quote rises past the 138.00 round figure, the 21-DMA could challenge the buyers at around 138.50. It’s worth noting that a seven-week-old descending trend line joins the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the May-October upside, near 139.15-20, to act as the last defense of sellers. In a case where the yen pair remains firmer past 139.20, a quick run-up toward the late November high around 142.25 appears imminent.

Meanwhile, a downside break of the 200-DMA support of 135.00 won’t hesitate to refresh the monthly low, currently around 133.60. Following that, the August month low near 130.40 and the 130.00 round figure can be witnessed. Should the quote remains bearish past 130.00, May’s bottom of 126.35 will lure the USDJPY bears.

Overall, USDJPY is heading lower as the key week begins. However, it all depends upon the US inflation and Fed meeting.