Macrobriefing

USDCNH probably going a lot higher

OANDA:USDCNH   USD/CNH
A little while ago the PBOC lost control of their currency and we saw the US dollar rising exponentially.
In the latest trade report from China Exports from China edged 0.3% lower yoy to USD 298.37 billion in October 2022, missing the market consensus of a 4.3% growth. This was the first decline in shipments since May 2020, amid poor overseas demand as cost pressures grew globally and supply disruptions lingered.
There is a real chance that the US dollar could keep rising as the offshore renminbi CNH collapses further.
China needs to export to the US to receive the US dollars, to then go out and buy stuff like Oil. This is why the Chinese and the Saudis earlier this year start to formulate a plan for China to buy direct with their own currency.

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