Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 5–9, 2025

🔮 Weekly SPY / SPX Scenarios for May 5–9, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍

🏦 Fed Holds Rates Amid Political Pressure
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5% during its meeting on May 6–7, despite political pressure to lower it. Investors will closely monitor Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-decision remarks for insights into future monetary policy directions.

📊 Key Economic Indicators on Tap
This week brings several important economic data releases, including the U.S. trade balance, initial jobless claims, consumer credit, and wholesale inventories. These indicators will provide insights into the health of the economy amid ongoing trade tensions and concerns over consumer confidence.

💼 Corporate Earnings in Focus
Major companies such as Palantir ( PLTR ), Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD ), Uber ( UBER ), Walt Disney ( DIS ), and Ford ( F ) are scheduled to report earnings this week. Investors will be watching these reports for signs of how companies are navigating the current economic landscape.

🌐 Global Events and Leadership Changes
Europe is set for significant leadership changes, with Friedrich Merz expected to be confirmed as Germany’s new chancellor. Additionally, the Vatican’s conclave to elect a new pope convenes on Wednesday. These events, along with the 80th anniversary of VE Day, may have broader implications for global markets.

📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Monday, May 5:

9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Composite PMI (April Final)
10:00 AM ET: ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (April)

📅 Tuesday, May 6:

8:30 AM ET: U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services (March)

📅 Wednesday, May 7:

2:00 PM ET: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
2:30 PM ET: Fed Chair Jerome Powell Press Conference

📅 Thursday, May 8:

8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims
10:00 AM ET: Wholesale Inventories (March)

📅 Friday, May 9:

3:00 PM ET: Consumer Credit (March)

⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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