mandevillean

Still a Mixed Picture on S&P 500 - But Leaning Negative

AMEX:SPY   SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST
The ambiguity that emerged yesterday (see link below to my previous post) regarding the uptrend in the S&P 500 since Feb. 9 was not much clarified with today's action. The S&P 500 rallied in the morning, but then faltered into the afternoon. The 2700 level (equivalent to 270 on SPY) appears to be providing support. Two forays of that level were quickly reversed today.

On balance, however, the probabilities are leaning towards an end to the uptrend that began from the Feb. 9 lows. First, the two bounces from 270 support on SPY today were weak. Second, if we zero in on the 15 minute chart, the 50 period MA is angling down. Third, momentum is flagging on the higher 60 minute time frame. And, fourth, the S&P 500 seems to be getting stymied by the 50 day moving average on the daily chart.

If you were to put a gun to my head and force me to take a position, I'd be short right now. Otherwise, I will be watching the price action develop with the expectation that a short trade set up is the more likely scenario to emerge.

면책사항

이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.