20191001 10pm Dollar falls with lower Fed Rate Probability

The dollar peaked and broke down on October 1, 2019 10pm as Fed Fund Futures indicate a jump in probability from 39% to 62%. This was a good signal to go long EUR and buy the pullbacks on an hourly timeframe.

Probabilities of a 150-175 Target Rate on October 30, 2019

09/30/2019 0 0.395517
10/01/2019 0 0.62
10/02/2019 0 0.769655
10/03/2019 0 0.887241

Source: CME FedWatch Tool cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html