Yesterday I noted that we ended with a hanging man candle under the daily 18ma. Under the daily 18ma, the bias is down and with a hanging man candle it may be a hint of a reversal. The paths I'm thinking are possible are shown. I personally still think we will end the week under 3700 and the weekly candle will look like a false breakout, but I will not short until I see a break below yesterday's lows and a retest of the channel. The Market was aware of the channel yesterday so it will surely be aware if we break below it today or tomorrow. A higher high today should be treated with suspicion as it may complete the 3 wave move up. Good luck!
코멘트:
if we get under the channel today, I expect a number of stops to get hit, however they likely will try to retake the channel. For adding shorts, that retest of the channel is a more ideal entry than here. Still could go higher today, but this reversal looks convincing as of now. Daily close will be important.
코멘트:
AAPL under support level, BUlls trying to hold on to it.
코멘트:
Shorted aapl, 144.5 next support, but I believe the turn is in. Stop at 147 in case i'm wrong
코멘트:
SPX is fighting hard to keep uptrend. AAPL bulls as well not giving up. I may get stopped out there, no problem. If SPX can start getting over 3780 we may reach 3815 by EOD in which case I will be suspicious of the last high but I will wait to see how tomorrow looks after 8;30 economy numbers
코멘트:
neither side is winning and it may be like this into EOD, Transports are showing relative strength and some think of DJT as a leading indicator. It's possible the market does nothing much until after 830am numbers tomorrow morning.
코멘트:
SPX, consolidation - usually breaks towards the trend it started with - in this case down, but it doesn't have to.
코멘트:
Triangle broke, objective short here but bears need to be careful of a false breakdown
코멘트:
test and rejected so far
코멘트:
daily candle now starting to look like a reversal after hangman candle. The redder the better for bears
코멘트:
If we retest the channel again it will likely break as most stops from yesterday's bulls will probably be there.
코멘트:
3700 needs to break for the selling to intensify
코멘트:
side note - TLRY earnings tomorrow and it's suddenly up 13 percent. Not sure what to make of it
코멘트:
I guess this news just hit www.cnn.com/2022/10/...joe-biden/index.html
코멘트:
Nice solid red candle on futures after yesterday's hanging man, Tomorrow it needs to break below channel under 3700.
