The chart below shows the yield spread between the 10yr and 3mo and 10yr and 2yr. When the spread is below 0 (colored in red), the yield curve is inverted. This has been an indicator for coming recessions. The red areas on the SPX are the recession periods.
As you can see we saw an inversion last month (march). The next recession is just around the corner and this one is going to be big. With the Fed experimenting with interesting rates and propping the stock market up, and tech stocks, FANG, and the Get Big Fast strategies startups are using, the market is extremely overvalued.
I think with the awareness of bitcoin now and the upcoming halving, money could pour into cryptos when stocks start to fall. The confluence of all this makes me think bitcoin will moon. The timing of the halving with a possible market crash is amazing to me. I feel excited for cryptos. I want to buy gold and bonds, safe places for my money, but the prospect of HUGE gains from the crypto market is to enticing. Either bitcoin goes to zero and I lose all my money (all the money I can afford to lose, not my savings or monthly spending) or I become much richer than my parents. Lol.
Let me know what your take is on all this!
As you can see we saw an inversion last month (march). The next recession is just around the corner and this one is going to be big. With the Fed experimenting with interesting rates and propping the stock market up, and tech stocks, FANG, and the Get Big Fast strategies startups are using, the market is extremely overvalued.
I think with the awareness of bitcoin now and the upcoming halving, money could pour into cryptos when stocks start to fall. The confluence of all this makes me think bitcoin will moon. The timing of the halving with a possible market crash is amazing to me. I feel excited for cryptos. I want to buy gold and bonds, safe places for my money, but the prospect of HUGE gains from the crypto market is to enticing. Either bitcoin goes to zero and I lose all my money (all the money I can afford to lose, not my savings or monthly spending) or I become much richer than my parents. Lol.
Let me know what your take is on all this!
코멘트:
Yield curve inverting again
