The graph you are seeing is about moments before Black Monday happened in 2008, and, as you can see, there was a clear 10% increase in price before Black Monday happened. That is what is happening right now. As soon as the USA reported that its inflation rate decreased 0.6% (9.1% - 8.5%), people became greedy and fomo bought stocks/etc. They thought the trend was going to reverse, but it was just a pullback. In 2008, shortly after the pullback, Black Monday struck and everything dropped. This might be a sign that means that we are way closer than we think to a recession (1 - 2 months left ). To add to that, the price dropped a few months before the 2008 recession as well.