[SPX] MONSTER 1M Head & Shoulders... Watch Out Under 3.8k!

2021년 3월 11일

That's the neckline... a break under that would likely bring deeper red.

Everyone is too busy drooling over SPX 4k to pay any mind to anything else, here's an OG meme treat for you guys: imgflip.com/i/517m5r

This is a textbook H&S pattern with two failed Head Breakouts and it's encompassing 3 other smaller H&S (so far) in addition to a 1M Bear Pennant.

The most salient theory right now is that 4k won't be reached precisely because everyone is expecting it (shout out frodo75 ).

Watch out for false Right Shoulder breakouts, make sure there's strong momo for confirm.

Everything priced in hard right now.

The other view...

2021년 3월 11일

노트

3rd gap up in a row to keep this rally going right over the yesterday's primary resistance to the top of the 1.5Y Peak Channel.

Cash sesh doing pretty great and Conditions improving but I'm still skeptical of the staying power here, if we close tomorrow above 3.9k on the 1W then def could be a strong bullish signal...

2021년 3월 11일

노트

3rd gap up in a row to keep this rally going right over yesterday's primary Box fractal resistance exactly to the top of the 1.5Y Peak Channel.

Cash sesh doing pretty great and Conditions improving but I'm still cautious until we get a 1W close above 3.9k here...

2021년 3월 11일

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Yellow is important ATH fractal, still lookin for a test around 3960 at the top red line...

2021년 3월 11일

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Let's see how this new topping fractal plays...

2021년 3월 11일

노트

Power hour should be interesting...

2021년 3월 11일

노트

This is the topping fractal to pay attention to for Power Hour...

2021년 3월 11일

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Nice...

2021년 3월 11일

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Bulls need ATH close here to really solidify their case.

2021년 3월 11일

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Here's more detail on how topping fractals can play out, this one was a bit fragmented...


Price Action has only exhibited this behavior since the previous Feb 16th Peak.

Previously we were consistently hitting Rising and Falling wedges with no topping patterns at all.

This is a very interesting behavioral shift possibly indicating a runup from here being more measured and cautious than we're used to.

2021년 3월 13일

노트

This is still a potential Double Top setup and false Right Shoulder breakout, next week is critical...


We're still well within the red lines representing the top of the broader Megaphone pattern here.