If we take a look at the current interest rate, the unemployment rate and the price of the SPX and look through the historical data.
We see a common pattern -> Increase in interest rate, followed by a period of plateau and just at this point the unemployment rate increased steeply -> followed by lower lows for the SPX and the market overall.
If we consider this data for our current cycle, the downturn is still in front of us.
We see a common pattern -> Increase in interest rate, followed by a period of plateau and just at this point the unemployment rate increased steeply -> followed by lower lows for the SPX and the market overall.
If we consider this data for our current cycle, the downturn is still in front of us.