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Bets against Donald J. Trump

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TVC:SPX   S&P 500
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The bets against Donald J. Trump don't need any explanation. How this will affect the markets depends if this bets going to become "mainstream". If ever this might occur the majority of investors are going to sell U.S. Stockmarkets. The question is: What will happen with all those bets after "Trump is solved out". The quoted facts telling traders, that it needs only 24 hours to collect 5 billion US-Dollar to bet on "Trump short". This facts should make Traders be carefull about estimated downside potential.

Donald J. Trump can stay in office, could be impeached or resign. If ever he is forced to resign than all this bets are going to lift the Dow up to 1.000 points at once. This is the shortsellers risk and this risk are discussed no where. Time to do it.

Quote:

The hedge-fund manager has raised some $5 billion in recent weeks, according to Reuters, that he says will be put to work when investor confidence finally gets brought to its knees. He raised the sum in about 24 hours, the report indicated.

Skeptics of Wall Street’s recent rally, which has been borne on the hope of pro-growth promises from Trump coming to into full view sooner than later, predict that an inevitable failure of the president to make good on his policy promises could jolt markets violently lower.

Singer is among those fearing that very scenario. He is betting that an economic recession may be on the horizon and believes that, with interest rates already near ultralow levels, the Federal Reserve won’t be able to provide a sufficient quantitative-easing cushion, as it did during the 2008-’09 financial crisis.
코멘트:
Trump’s 'Home Run' Trip Leaves White House Happy, Europe Mixed
www.bloomberg.com/po...e-happy-europe-agape
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For German Readers: Donald Trumps history linked to Russia wich will be checked now all by Robert Mueller and wich is already checked by the FBI.
www.zdf.de/dokumenta...erbindungen-100.html
코멘트:
Special Counsel Robert Mueller Taking Close Control of Russia Investigation
www.cnbc.com/2017/06...a-investigation.html
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Trump Reviewing Whether to Block Comey Testimony to Senate
www.bloomberg.com/po...imony-spokesman-says
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Trumps approval rates will decide, if House and Senat will vote about the Trump impeachment. Today there would be no majority to impeach Trump. The UK Election showed in the past 6 weeks, how quick approval rates could deteriorate.
projects.fivethirtye...mp-approval-ratings/

UK polls: Dramatic change within a few weeks only
en.m.wikipedia.org/w...neral_election,_2017
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Todays Trumps approval rate: 39,1% approve, 54,9% disapprove.
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Patriotic Russians may have staged cyber attacks on their own initiative, says Putin
www.cnbc.com/2017/06...tive-says-putin.html
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Trump Inc.
Kushner family in Beijing: 'Invest $500,000 and immigrate' to US
money.cnn.com/2017/0...ily-event/index.html
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Trump Inc.
Ivanka Trump’s Company Applied for Chinese Trademarks Day Before Her White House Appointment
The 14 trademark applications, filed on March 28, cover sectors from construction to legal services to alcoholic beverages
www.wsj.com/articles...ouse-post-1496458992
코멘트:
Trump Inc.
Activists investigating Ivanka Trump's China shoe factory detained or missing
Three men from New York-based rights group China Labor Watch were looking at conditions at plant where Trump shoes are assembled
www.theguardian.com/...-detained-or-missing
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Trump will not block ex-FBI chief Comey's testimony: White House
www.investing.com/ne...:-white-house-491997
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The Comey testimony could cause a first short term sell off on June 8. Same day held UK snap eletion could cause huge volatility within 24 hours.
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Trump says ahead of former FBI Director Comey's testimony: 'I wish him luck'
www.investing.com/ne...ish-him-luck'-492503
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Trump seeks legislative wins to cast off shadow of Russia probes
www.investing.com/ne...a-probe-looms-492148
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U.S. House members plan more public hearings in Russia probe
www.investing.com/ne...-russia-probe-492585
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Trump pushes infrastructure plan as Russia probe heats up
www.investing.com/ne...robe-heats-up-492951
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Stocks close higher as Street hopes Comey testimony will be less damaging to Trump than feared
Former FBI Director James Comey is slated to testify in front of the committee on Thursday and answer questions, marking the first time he publically speaks since being fired from his post.
The Senate Intelligence Committee released Comey's full opening remarks Wednesday afternoon, at which time the major indexes traded back near session highs.
www.cnbc.com/2017/06...uk-election-ecb.html
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'Horrendous storm' to hit stocks, Wall Street not rational: David Stockman
www.cnbc.com/2017/06...-david-stockman.html
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Trump being investigated for possible obstruction of justice: Washington Post
www.investing.com/ne...shington-post-495583
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Playing games: If ever Russia shot down a US warplane at, before or after the G20 summit all 18 (western) of the G20 Nations are forced to back Donald Trump. Win win situation for both Donald J. Trump and Vladimir Putin facing growing opposition at home.
www.nytimes.com...ssia-syria.html?_r=0
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Exclusive: Moscow lawyer who met Trump Jr. had Russian spy agency as client
www.investing.com/ne...ncy-as-client-508405
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‘Holy Hell To Pay’: Graham Warns Trump on Firing Sessions

Quote: "A prominent Republican senator warned President Donald Trump Thursday “there will be holy hell to pay” if he fires Attorney General Jeff Sessions and dared the commander-in-chief to “accept the consequences” if he made such a move.

Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., one of the many GOP lawmakers furious over Trump’s escalating attacks on Sessions, let the president know in no uncertain terms that cutting the former Alabama senator loose from his Cabinet would be met with repercussions.

"There will be no confirmation hearing for a new attorney general in 2017. If Jeff Sessions is fired, there will be holy hell to pay," said Graham, who has been critical of Trump."
Source: www.nbcnews.com/poli...ing-sessions-n787086
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Trump Today: President cites ‘big progress’ on gangs as Sessions says he’ll stay in job
www.marketwatch...-job-2017-07-27?siteid=big...
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Cabinet members beware: What Trump is doing to Sessions can happen to you
edition.cnn.com/2017...on-borger/index.html
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Donald Trump set to punish entire state of Alaska because its senators voted against his health care motion
Interior Secretary reportedly makes 'troubling' calls to senators after vote
Source: www.independent.co.u...kowski-a7862341.html
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Member of Congress brings giant photo of Donald Trump mocking disabled reporter onto House floor
www.independent.co.u...speech-a7863916.html
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Trump's Cabinet woes could cripple administration, ex-WH staffers say
edition.cnn.com/2017...e-effects/index.html
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Donald Trump's approval rating has plummeted in 11 US states he won in the election
www.independent.co.u...blican-a7862386.html
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Trump approval rating dips to 35 percent, new poll finds
www.cbsnews.com/news...-dips-to-35-percent/
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Six Months In, Trump Is Historically Unpopular
fivethirtyeight.com/...torically-unpopular/
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IS TRUMP LOSING REPUBLICAN SUPPORT? LATEST APPROVAL RATINGS SHOW DROP FROM GOP MEMBERS
www.newsweek.com/tru...s-republicans-642824
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POLLS SHOW TRUMP, THE LEAST POPULAR PRESIDENT EVER, IS PLUNGING EVEN LOWER
www.newsweek.co...en-lower-640700?utm_source...
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President Trump's Approval Rating Is Worse Than Any Other President At This Point
time.com/4868028/don...ump-approval-rating/
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Republicans scrap border adjustment from tax reform plan
www.cnbc.com/2017/07...ent-tax-is-dead.html
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Congress sends Russia sanctions bill to Trump’s desk, but it’s unclear whether he will veto it
www.washingtonp...d304_story.html?utm_term=....
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Boy Scouts apologise for Trump's speech
www.bbc.com/news/wor...d-us-canada-40745875
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Obamacare 'skinny repeal': Senators vote down Trump healthcare bill that 'would kill 20,000 people'
www.independent.co.u...repeal-a7864056.html
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Pentagon takes no steps to enforce Trump's transgender ban
The Defense Department is awaiting guidance from the White House amid fears that thousands of troops could be forced out.
www.politico.com/sto...-modification-241029
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Trump fires White House chief of staff Reince Priebus
www.theguardian.com/...staff-reince-priebus
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Trump wants Robert Mueller gone. He needs to get rid of Jeff Sessions first

www.vox.com/policy-a...s-recess-appointment
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Trump’s Approval Rating Sinks to 42 Percent in Texas
www.texasmonthly.com...texas-texas-roundup/
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Political insider claims Trump's presidency is 'effectively over
www.aol.com/article/...dency-over/23054112/
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Turmoil fuels schism between Trump's White House and Republican party
www.theguardian.com/...t-priebus-healthcare
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"Trump's Approval Rating Slides to All-Time Low in New Poll"
SOURCE: www.newsmax.com/Poli...017/07/31/id/804814/
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Now even Rassmussen is putting Trumps approval rating under 40:
Source:http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_jul31
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Now even Rassmussen is putting Trumps approval rating under 40:
Source: www.rasmussenreports...ion/prez_track_jul31
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One year into the FBI's Russia investigation, Mueller is on the Trump money trail
edition.cnn.com/2017...cial-ties/index.html
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Comment: Mueller impanels Washington grand jury in Russia probe: Wall Street Journal
www.investing.com/ne...treet-journal-514371
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Trump's approval rating plunges to new low, poll shows
.
Trump's approval rating is down 7 percentage points from the 40 percent rating he received in a similar survey in late June.
It also stated that American voters say 54 to 26 percent that they are embarrassed rather than proud to have Trump as president.
www.cnbc.com/20...poll-shows.html?recirc=tab...
코멘트:
Trump just set his own, uncrossable 'red line' — and North Korea crossed it instantly
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President Donald Trump has drawn a red line for himself by pledging to attack North Korea, but it's unlikely he will live up to his promise, experts said
The incident is seen as yet another example of Trump undermining American credibility and escalating tensions in the Korean Peninsula

www.cnbc.com/2017/08...ed-it-instantly.html
코멘트:
A Democrat win in 2018 could end the Trump presidency, says analyst
www.cnbc.com/20...in-in-2018.html?recirc=tab...
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GEOPOLITICS, TRUMP APPROVAL RATES:
Trump setting records for low presidential approval

Plunging into undesirably uncharted territory, Trump is setting records with his dismally low approval ratings

At 34 percent, his current approval rating is worse than former President Barack Obama's ever was

QUOTE: "Trump has defied the trends before. But if history is a guide, his numbers don't bode well. Low approval ratings hamper a president's ability to push an agenda through Congress and make it more likely the president's party will lose seats in Congress in the midterm elections."
Source: www.cnbc.com/2017/08...ential-approval.html
코멘트:
Quote: "Money flow: Investors pull billions from US stocks in longest outflow streak since 2004"
Source: www.cnbc.com/20...since-2004.html?recirc=tab...

Remark: Traders should remind the "lock up periode" for stock repurchase programs to start in 3-4 weeks from now. Stock buy backs may prevent right now US stockmarkets from more selling pressure. This is going to change within days by end of september if investors might continue to pull money out of US stockmarkets.
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GEOPOLITICS: Trump vs. Government shutdown vs. "The Wall" vs. Mexico
.
Trump Repeats Making Mexico Pay for Wall as He Seeks Funding
www.bloomberg.com/ne...-as-he-seeks-funding
.
Remark: Not really difficult to understand that Trump is trying to deliver his widely promised "wall" - but no one is willing to pay for it. For US stockmarkets and the USD this more or less "funny issue" now is turning serious and negative.
코멘트:
GEOPOLITICS: Trumps vs. "the Wall" vs. "China":

Trump reportedly demands China action: 'I want tariffs. And I want someone to bring me some tariffs'
www.cnbc.com/2017/08...me-some-tariffs.html
코멘트:
Trump is publicly sparring with yet another Republican senator

President Donald Trump takes a swipe at Sen. Bob Corker, a Senate ally who recently said Trump has not shown what it takes to be a successful president.
www.cnbc.com/20...bob-corker.html?recirc=tab...
코멘트:
Dow futures open more than 100 points lower after North Korea fires missile over Japan

North Korea fired a missile over Japan, according to local media.
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said the ballistic missile passed over the Tohoku region at the northern end of Japan.
Local government urged people living in the area to take refuge in solid buildings or underground shelters, NHK reported.
www.cnbc.com/2017/08...pan-report-says.html
코멘트:
GEOPOLITICS: Trump vs. Trump (low approval ratings)
.
Quote:
"Trump to tout tax reform in Missouri, won't offer specifics
.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump will turn his signature populist rhetoric toward tax reform on Wednesday in a speech expected to tout tax cuts as a way to help workers and the middle class in an economy "rigged" against them, senior White House officials said.
With his domestic policy agenda stalled amid Republican infighting and his approval rating at just 35 percent, Trump will make his first presidential speech specifically on tax reform, one of his key 2016 campaign promises."
Source: www.investing.com/ne...lping-workers-523757
코멘트:
Special Counsel Mueller has Trump's draft letter on reasons for firing FBI Director James Comey: Source

Special counsel Robert Mueller's team of investigators has a letter drafted by President Donald Trump and an aide, but never sent, laying out a rationale for firing FBI Director James Comey, according to a person familiar with the investigation
That letter was held after objections from the president's lawyer and others, according to two other people familiar with the process
www.cnbc.com/2017/09...es-comey-source.html
코멘트:
Quote:

Why the Trump Russia investigation could take a new turn

"Mueller has already brought New York's ambitious AG Eric Schneiderman into the investigation of the finances of former Trump Campaign Chairman Paul Manafort, possibly in part to immunize against a presidential pardon."
Source: www.cnbc.com/2017/09...turn-commentary.html

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