flyinkiwi10

SPX short trade update

flyinkiwi10 업데이트됨   
SP:SPX   S&P 500 인덱스
Just an update

Entered a short trade on the 3rd Dec and will look to take profit soon in order to re-enter for the 5th wave of wave C down.

Sorry about my wave degrees, I just prefer the smaller degrees to avoid clutter.
코멘트:
Average price not quite that high, in the 2780s though
코멘트:
Should hit 2580 tomorrow
코멘트:
Also the target for wave (v) down isn't 2300. I haven't charted it yet but something closer to 2200 - 2250 probably.
코멘트:
2579.2... not quite 2580
코멘트:
After a good entry, I will admit that this trade isn't now working out like I intended. The wave count is difficult to pin down but the present rally isn't wave 4. It appears that the ABC correction has completed, with wave C extended 1.618 of wave A. The Shiller PE ratio has risen to 29.36 in the last week. I am retaining my position with a stop at break even.

There are positive signs for those who are shorting - daily RSI has peaked around 60. According to Constance Brown RSI rules; 60 will act as resistance in a bear market. So I will be on the lookout for weakness - which will lead me to add to my short position.
코멘트:
Of course I didn't take into account that the Fed would come out and say they are holding off further rate increases - because they are needed for when the US enters the next recession (most analysts say within 2 years and some say July 2019 (as Victor Sperandeo did recently)). So... free money everyone let's try to re-inflate the bubble.

Peter Schiff, a recent video www.youtube.com/watch?v=imvFC_GD... says the Fed has capitulated and that is not a good thing. He strongly implies that dropping the interest rate to zero was a one way journey.

Hyperinflation is becoming more of a probability when they announce QE4 and QE5. The S&P IS in a bear market - this uptrend is a correction, not the start of a new uptrend to higher highs. Call me a bear or whatever, but recent decisions have made it almost certain that there will be a deeper crash when it happens.

면책사항

이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.