Solana (SOL): Preparing for Further Corrections

6월 25일

Initially, we entered Solana at $80 and have been pleased with our position. However, upon reevaluating our scenario, we believe that the larger Wave II may not be complete, and we could see further downside. Therefore, we have decided to adjust our stop loss to avoid being prematurely stopped out, especially if Wave II is not yet finished. This adjustment is based on our long-term belief in Solana's potential.

We anticipate that Solana might fall to the range between $92 and $51, with $51 being the absolute maximum downside level. In anticipation of further corrections, we plan to place a second entry at the 127.2% Wave C level, expecting a significant rise post-correction.




Quarterly VWAP Analysis

In the current situation, the 2024 Q1 VAH (Volume Area High) is acting as resistance, while the current range is defined by the 2024 Q1 VWAP at $126, which has been touched twice, each time forming lower lows. If Solana loses the $126 support level, the next significant range is between $91 and $82. This aligns well with our second entry target at the 2024 Q1 VAH and the 2023 Q4 VAH. In the worst case, a further drop could take Solana down to around $60.

To achieve a bullish reversal, Solana needs to reclaim the $126 level and push upwards. Breaking above $161.9 would signal strength, and surpassing the $210 mark would confirm a bullish trend continuation.

In conclusion, we remain open to further downside to the $91-$82 range for a potential second entry. Holding this range is crucial to avoid deeper declines towards $60. Conversely, reclaiming $126 and breaking above $161.9, and eventually $210, would indicate a strong bullish reversal.