Trader6127

OMG Breakout?

Trader6127 업데이트됨   
BITFINEX:OMGUSD   OmiseGo
Careful could be double top...look for continuation patterns/pullbacks and be mindful of the RSI. Volume would lock in gains.
액티브 트레이드
코멘트:
코멘트:

Nice mini bull flag?
코멘트:
WE should keep an eye on OMGBTC as a break of the trend line or a bounce from the ATH could be disastrous for OMGUSD. Rising BTC value is on our side in the USD chart, but not exactly in the other one...yet :)

코멘트:
코멘트:
For us to perform better (or worse) than BTC here we need the following situation resolved:
코멘트:
Sorry about the above:(

코멘트:
This is good :)
코멘트:
Remember, what happens here is very important!
코멘트:
YESSSSS! We are now quite leveraged in our gains... XD
코멘트:
Big picture shot. Things are moving fast. I think the "alternative route" is now out of question and we are most likely currently in a sub-wave 1 out of the broader wave 3 (the longest wave!). Based on chart patterns, we should be looking for sub-wave 1, 3, and 5 on the RSI. Based on the performance of this asset, we want to hold until we burnout on what appears to be the final wave. My bullish senses are telling me we might have to rip through that MAX TP to get that final sub-wave 5 *thumps*
코멘트:
Touched Min TP! This is still subwave 1. RSI is coming back around so we should expect further up.
코멘트:
Looking over at OMGBTC we have the following situation which might unfold. This is good, becuase it extends upward possibilities as a contiunation pattern. Remember, that percentage in dollar terms is ON TOP of the value of BTC. You have better odds of holding OMG right now.
코멘트:
If you missed the breakout you could go long at the bottom of what might be a triangle or flag.
코멘트:
Maybe we are in subwave 2 about to enter subwave 3 (the longest one!)???
코멘트:
Big picture: notice new wave counts. Yes, they change. THis is becuase wave counting is like political science or economics...its not science.
코멘트:
Bull Flag?
코멘트:
OK, here we go. We are in sub-sub-wave 5 within sub-wave 1. Expect some profit taking at 0.786 level. We will likely level out and trade sideways for an A - E correction which is wave 2.
코멘트:
Oh forgot to mention: You can either take profits up here and buy back in. We will likely revisit price levels within this triangle we are leaving now.
코멘트:
Here is how you can trade this: If it falls out of the rising wedge we could sell.
코멘트:
BTC is taking an alternative route today - apparently it needs it, otherwise it can't get to MIN TP. So here is how we can deal with this. If you havent bought in already you could play this.
코멘트:
Back on the other front:
코멘트:
Update time! :)
So we came down to test some support lines, looks good so far as we are still trading within our rising wedge with no breakdown signals. Remember, rising wedge patterns are reversal patterns. BUT, I have seen cryptos break ABOVE these patterns! Crazy, eh? (*Canadian lingo slipped in three ;P).
코멘트:
So I only see green 4HR candles so far *thumps*! We can now draw a more accurate rising wedge and we can see an extension level to aim for. I am hoping the tip is the end of our sub-wave 1 so we can have a consolidation before going forward. So aim for $13.50 and settle for $13.25. I could go further, so you could just use a trailing stop loss strategy and risk a few extra cents. We will not reach this goal for another 24hr so i'm off!
코멘트:
Is this end of sub-wave 1? New wedge pattern
코멘트:
We are appraoching the bottom channel line here. BTC is rising so if we can perform within the channel we are golden XD
코멘트:
Red candle in the 4HR and RSI is tired. We could see a revisit to 9.33, odds are leaning more toward 9.80.
코멘트:
I want to post one more thought: If what we are dealing with is really the beginning of wave 3, and more specifically, the ending and consolidation of sub-wave 1, then we should not see a big selloff. 1. Breaking ATH is a big buy signal; 2. We already tested support and if you look you can find a hammer candle that retested support in the 4HR; 3. We are close to the base of sub-wave 3, which will be the longest wave in this entire structure (sub-wave 3 within wave 3) until we see a larger correction after wave 5 (November-December?). HODL HODL HODL!
코멘트:
코멘트:
Right now is the kind of place I like to enter the market. RSI is on your side, support is near, and if the market reverses on you, you are only out 2 to 3% on your purchase. You then try to find another similar entry point. I should add, you want to see higher lows first.
코멘트:
Incredible...Watch for doubple top!
코멘트:
Weeee, you should be up 25%. Go ahead, take some profits.
코멘트:
We have been on an amazing tear for a while now. As we go higher along the wedge the RSI will get pretty drunk, waiting to lean over. You have two options. 1) You can sell and take your 25%+ profit if you bought the breakout. You'll probably want to buy back in at some point in the wave two consolidation (this can be tricky). 2) You can hold, as we still have two more waves to go (this is the route I am taking) but be prepared for volatility. I do not recommend stop loss at the bottom of the current impulse wave (approx. $11.10) to see if we go higher, you might get stopped out prematurely and that would really suck!
코멘트:
Another thing: I have been holding since the end of correction wave-C. I will make a post about this strategy in more depth some time. That's a gain of almost 60%! XD
코멘트:
Holy crap RSI coming back around... haha!
코멘트:
We will break out of the TOP of our rising wedge in the OMGUSD chart i think
코멘트:
XD XD XD
코멘트:
코멘트:
I see no sell signals yet on the other chart, too.
코멘트:
We are now trading outside our rising wedge again. Looks like we have a possible channel or we might hav eto form a wider wedge :)
코멘트:
No need to panic, we just need to draw our lines properly :P
코멘트:
코멘트:
Here is a possible 1-5 wave count of sub-wave 1 with wave 3. I emphasize POSSIBLE because this art can be very elusive.
코멘트:
A messy chart with three different senarious (green lines). I prefer the big H&S so that we can go higher more consistently.
코멘트:
RSI is in friendly zone, and if the bulls come running in we could go higher, which is why I am not selling. You see the game we are playing? I'm off for a little while. GL all.
코멘트:
I think the right shoulder is unlikely to complete.
코멘트:
Sorry, this one:
코멘트:
코멘트:
We kissed $9.80! Magic? We should not trade below that level. Its seems we are in Wave B. I will be closing this thread and starting a new one as its too long.
코멘트:
New thread:
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