UnknownUnicorn540299

Heatwave or a C-wave?

UnknownUnicorn540299 업데이트됨   
OANDA:NATGASUSD   천연 가스 CFDs
12
Current raging a heatwave in the US, so fundamentals say we "should have a bullish run".
Expect price to kill sentiment in the month of July so we can set up for a nice rally into the winter.
코멘트:
All we need is a fat finger on top of the channel
코멘트:
Should be entering trend-alteration zone these days. Let's hope the bull-trap is done constructed now.
코멘트:
Bulls are getting on board. Like in gold, they like to buy breakouts. So maybe this is what it takes. Now they are observing moving averages. The more bulls on board, the more violent reversal.
Observe very carefully the resistance level at 3.15. IF now however, this is going above 3.15 and manages to close above, the breakout can be real, but I seriously doubt it.
코멘트:
3.15. Watch it carefully.
코멘트:
Might not even get it, lets see.
코멘트:
Impressive break-out by bulls, even with beaten consensus estimates on inventory, heatwaves etc.

"But! Inventory report was bullish and the weather is so warm! How come price do not rise!?"

Good question.
코멘트:
Trump on stage about energy, giving new hope to bulls.
코멘트:
End of week, month and half year 2017. Beware of price voodoo.
코멘트:
Price voodoo started to print whatever close price market desires at this important date. Be careful with positions and holding over this weekend is a good suggestion. I closed 50 % already and will impose hedge on the rest.
코멘트:
코멘트:
Gapfill looks the most likely.
코멘트:
Gapfill achieved.
But hey, let's not stop there. A lot more bulls longing for warm weather to kill still.
코멘트:
Wouldn't it be nice if bullish sentiment could be cleared, once and for all? Ah, yes, it would.
코멘트:
But they are still fighting. Holding on to the meaningless trendline.
코멘트:
Trendline broken. I think they will have more trouble in reclaiming it this time. A lot of longs that need to get wiped out.
코멘트:
Bulls with SL watching nervously
코멘트:
Cycle failed and about 80 % of bulls should be stopped out. Can try a risky long scalp now :)
코멘트:
If you are lucky, market will test the breakdown. An excellent opportuinity to short more.
코멘트:
Based on pattern symmetry I took another short position today when price was + 2.4 %. Lets see.
코멘트:
More sideways than distinct down. Must understand why. I note in the back of my mind.
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