Why I Took a Short Position on the US100(high risk)

2024년 12월 6일

Even though I typically avoid shorting indices, especially in the current macroeconomic environment characterized by a resilient labor market and increasing likelihood of a soft landing, my trading decisions are heavily rooted in technical analysis. While the broader economic context leans towards stability, the charts presented a setup that I found compelling enough to take the risk.

The position, admittedly, is high-risk, with a significant probability of hitting my stop-loss. However, I believe that the potential reward justifies the calculated risk, given the structure on the chart. If the stop is triggered but the broader technical context remains unchanged, I am prepared to re-enter the position and risk an additional 2-3 stops. My approach relies on consistency and discipline, so as long as the technical indicators and levels I evaluate continue to align, I am comfortable with this risk.

This trade is more of a strategic decision than a fundamental one. It’s driven by my confidence in the patterns and levels I see, not a bet against the underlying strength of the index or economy. It's a reminder that, sometimes, even in favorable macroeconomic conditions, the charts can tell a different story worth exploring.

2024년 12월 6일

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