MSFT – A correction brewing? zero day CRWD-like scenario?

7월 24일

In July 2025, a critical vulnerability in Microsoft SharePoint (CVE-2025-53770) was exploited by threat actors globally. Although the issue was first reported during the Pwn2Own Berlin competition back in May, Microsoft delayed the patch — allowing attackers a significant head start. Over 400 servers and dozens of organizations were breached, including U.S. and European government entities.

💬 On July 18, Reddit users began discussing the flaw’s severity, comparing it to past vulnerabilities like Log4j. Interestingly, this coincided with the first significant technical deviation from the bullish trend — marking a potential beginning of downside momentum.

🔍 In the chart above:

Strong bullish run until the Zero-Day disclosure

Clear gap beneath current price action

TARGET 1 reflects a natural technical retracement toward EMA 50–100 and the mid-term trendline

TARGET 2 is conditional – it only applies if a massive event occurs, similar to what we saw with CRWD

⚠️ Key distinction:

CrowdStrike: A software update bug caused a global Windows crash — no cyberattack, but massive operational impact

Microsoft: A real, actively exploited security vulnerability — with long-tail risk for data leaks, ransomware, and regulatory backlash

🎯 Conclusion:
If the SharePoint exploit escalates in visibility or consequences, and Microsoft fails to contain the damage — we could see extended downside pressure. TARGET 2 remains valid only under a high-severity scenario, like CRWD’s global meltdown.

7월 31일

액티브 트레이드

we shorting!!!! lets go
CVE-2025-53770
Defender still alerts SuspSignoutReq on PATCHED Sharepoint 2016
Audit logs become cluttered with redundant security events.
User sessions are occasionally forced to reauthenticate unnecessarily.
Potential impact on compliance reporting if alerts are misinterpreted as breaches.
Confusion among IT teams during post‑patch validation.


lets gooo