From institutional investors, public sentiment on a given day, the Fed, to even the tweakers, so much beyond fundamental analysis and indicators impacts the direction of price movement.
2 Scenarios:
1. So...let's talk about the tweakers. You know they are dying to sell at $3.4567...and not $4.66 or $4.52 where the metrics indicate. But alas, I think we need a deeper correction for the health of the coin. The sooner the better so we can have more information moving onward and upward. I think it will complete the "W" as the last stand before dropping to mid $3.20s, failing, then continuing down towards the Fib .382 and .5 levels. I can't find it now, but I had a lower number above $2.87, around $2.96, that I was looking at the other day? Maybe it was just the Fib before it went up to $3.55.
2. The "W" is essentially a double bottom, which is bullish. Why not push higher at that point? I don't know...I think the bulls are tired and there have been a lot of shorts and it's just time to go back down. So, if the tweakers fail to break the uptrend, it may hit its $3.60's target. I do think this is possible as BTC looks positioned to hit $45500, perhaps Dbl topping to give the market a point to come back down. In confluence with BTC's trend, MANA is forming a symmetrical triangle with a target of $3.55, another Dbl Top. Fib. retracements won't be affected unless MANA breaks $3.55. This is not financial advice so keep a close eye on things. Good luck.
3. My plan, and definitely not financial advice: Sell with the tweakers...buy back in around $3.38 if I think BTC is still on track...sell at $3.55, then follow Mr. Fib.
2 Scenarios:
1. So...let's talk about the tweakers. You know they are dying to sell at $3.4567...and not $4.66 or $4.52 where the metrics indicate. But alas, I think we need a deeper correction for the health of the coin. The sooner the better so we can have more information moving onward and upward. I think it will complete the "W" as the last stand before dropping to mid $3.20s, failing, then continuing down towards the Fib .382 and .5 levels. I can't find it now, but I had a lower number above $2.87, around $2.96, that I was looking at the other day? Maybe it was just the Fib before it went up to $3.55.
2. The "W" is essentially a double bottom, which is bullish. Why not push higher at that point? I don't know...I think the bulls are tired and there have been a lot of shorts and it's just time to go back down. So, if the tweakers fail to break the uptrend, it may hit its $3.60's target. I do think this is possible as BTC looks positioned to hit $45500, perhaps Dbl topping to give the market a point to come back down. In confluence with BTC's trend, MANA is forming a symmetrical triangle with a target of $3.55, another Dbl Top. Fib. retracements won't be affected unless MANA breaks $3.55. This is not financial advice so keep a close eye on things. Good luck.
3. My plan, and definitely not financial advice: Sell with the tweakers...buy back in around $3.38 if I think BTC is still on track...sell at $3.55, then follow Mr. Fib.
코멘트:
That "W" just got turned into a "y." I'm not sure it'll recover before going down to the lower targets. I'm watching to see if it goes back down to that support, forming a bearish pennant, which would bring the price down to the $3.05 area. Not financial advice, but I will stop loss it just below and catch the buy on the drop...bummer though.