LDO SWING LONG IDEA - A Life-changing opportunity
업데이트됨
Narratives:
1) LDO is the strongest ETH-BETA with a massive 35B TVL. We haven't seen an ETH bull run yet, but when it happens, LDO will likely benefit the most.
2)Market Cap = FDV, meaning all tokens are already in circulation, eliminating future unlock-related sell pressure.
3)Undervalued: LDO boasts 35B TVL and a 1.8B market cap, while AAVE has 20B$ TVL and a 3.5B market cap.
4)SEC Administration Change: The current administration has delayed ETH staking approvals for ETFs. A new SEC administration may greenlight this, channeling billions of ETH ETF funds into LDO, the largest ETH liquid staking protocol. This could bring a significant influx of assets to its chain.
Technical Analysis:
The price ran the Autumn 2022 EQLs (equal lows)—which I consider "max pain"—but failed to close below, showing resilience. After that, the price reversed upward, breaking the bearish trendline responsible for the bearish trend since January 2024. Following a successful retest of the trendline, we saw strong momentum.
I’ll be targeting 2024 Highs at $4 initially, with a long-term view toward ATH at $7.22.
Invalidation:
This is a 3x leverage swing trade or a spot trade, and I plan to carry it until spring 2025. I’m already in the trade. My invalidation level is a daily close below $0.91. Yes, it’s a wider stop-loss, but as I mentioned, this isn’t just a trade; it’s more of a mid-term investment. I’ll be looking to close the position around May 2025 or earlier if we reach levels close to the previous ATH.
1) LDO is the strongest ETH-BETA with a massive 35B TVL. We haven't seen an ETH bull run yet, but when it happens, LDO will likely benefit the most.
2)Market Cap = FDV, meaning all tokens are already in circulation, eliminating future unlock-related sell pressure.
3)Undervalued: LDO boasts 35B TVL and a 1.8B market cap, while AAVE has 20B$ TVL and a 3.5B market cap.
4)SEC Administration Change: The current administration has delayed ETH staking approvals for ETFs. A new SEC administration may greenlight this, channeling billions of ETH ETF funds into LDO, the largest ETH liquid staking protocol. This could bring a significant influx of assets to its chain.
Technical Analysis:
The price ran the Autumn 2022 EQLs (equal lows)—which I consider "max pain"—but failed to close below, showing resilience. After that, the price reversed upward, breaking the bearish trendline responsible for the bearish trend since January 2024. Following a successful retest of the trendline, we saw strong momentum.
I’ll be targeting 2024 Highs at $4 initially, with a long-term view toward ATH at $7.22.
Invalidation:
This is a 3x leverage swing trade or a spot trade, and I plan to carry it until spring 2025. I’m already in the trade. My invalidation level is a daily close below $0.91. Yes, it’s a wider stop-loss, but as I mentioned, this isn’t just a trade; it’s more of a mid-term investment. I’ll be looking to close the position around May 2025 or earlier if we reach levels close to the previous ATH.
액티브 트레이드
We are on the move
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