The probability is increased beecause:
(1) Nikkei will have climbed 200% from bottom (not enough on its own but sufficient).
(2) Nikkei is reaching a capping line from 1992 (note this line shall be broken at some point, not if but when).
(3) Nikkei has had its 7/8Y cycle from top to top (rough time frame, this is not a swiss clock)
(4) At 21,500ish in Jun15, Nikkei would have completed 5 wave of wave V and could be due for a correction.
I add that an excess through the lines seems less naive for a top than exactly on the lines.
This is just giving a generic idea. To trade you need to go to a lower time frame.
Take away if the general view is correct:
Looking for a correction here.
A last rally from 18,000 to 20,500ish
Then looking for a top around june
