This assumption is obviously ridiculous, so the investors became extremely relieved and excited after 4 May 2022 at the news of the 50 bps rate hike. The recession panic is also fading as investors realise the American economy remains strong and the Russian war or Chinese lockdown is not the end of world. This relief, coupled with the inflow of bargain hunters will send IXIC to the 0.618 resistance of 14680 and 0.786 resistance of 15354, in a matter of weeks. Then IXIC will probably consolidate between 14680 and 16212 for a while, and collapse again in September. Investors consider October as the worst month because they can't forget the disasters of October in 1929 and 2008. Therefore they tend to sell in September to avoid the perceived October disaster, making September an actually worse month than October.
This pattern will combine with another wave of recession panic about rate hike and quantitative tightening, making September, October and possibly the first three and half weeks of November the bearish months of 2022. The long term trend remains strongly bullish as I have stated multiple times since 2019, so every major correction is an excellent opportunity to buy at discount.
코멘트:
stop panicking, lol
This analyst clearly doesn't know what he's talking about. Stocks collapse when investors panic, stocks rally when they stock panicking. Now that the recession and rate hike narrative is going down, inflation itself is not powerful enough to bring IXIC lower. IXIC will keep going up in the next couple of weeks.