Crab Pattern on IWM

Given current market conditions:

1. High inflation
2. FED action to aggressively tighten monetary policy (increase interest rates and reduce balance sheet)
3. Small Caps (made up of small risky companies) struggling in high interest rates environment

I see IWM going lower from here. Target around 172 or lower even. My moving average indicator (bottom red and green curves) are also helping in the probability of this crab pattern to occur.