Historical Behavior post-recessions

2021년 11월 17일

The Russell 2000, as well as the S&P500 tend to have a similar behavior coming out of market bottoms. In this case, we analyze the potential move with past historical data.

The first year is usually a strong one, the second one there is consolidation and accumulation, the third there is a strong rally that loses steam near September.


Using market bottoms from:

• 1974
  
• 1982
  
• 2003
  
• 2009
  

2021년 12월 1일

주문취소됨

We have entered the channel again, meaning the breakout failed. I expect this pattern to fail as well if we don't break out again in the next 2-3 months.