ok we're getting a recovery rally, but be aware tomorrow they could sell down to create one more low which I would think would be a bear trap. I can't say it's THE "bottom" but we could be starting to make a bottoming pattern here. RSI needs a reset, watch NQ and tech especially for an outperformance rally if I'm correct.
Good luck!
Good luck!
코멘트:
if they sell the close, it may be like this.
코멘트:
well damn they are selling it hard. If the idea is not correct, this is only 1 of 5 with 3 tomorrow/ overnight and 5 next week. Fooled me again if they don't save this overnight.
코멘트:
NQ holding the line after AMZN earnings....
코멘트:
they are holding the channel line - so far. That's nice and clear because if they hold it they will bounce and if they lose it tonight we're going lower.
코멘트:
under 14150 on NQ overnight or tomorrow and we'll continue to sell.
코멘트:
SPX futures just hit the 61.8 fib, if they are going to tank this overnight this is where it may stop...
코멘트:
good morning, bounce held overnight but it's very weak. We could have one more low (red path on NQ) but if they can get over the middle trendline finally, we could rally hard today. I can't tell, but i do think we touch the trendline above regardless....
코멘트:
edit - i think we touch the "yellow" trendline regardless - good luck
코멘트:
they are getting close, If they reject from this level (about 14350 on NQ), we're going to make more lows.
코멘트:
rejection so far from the yellow line, over it and it's bullish but right now looks bad.
코멘트:
took a small short at the line, could be a black friday. tight stops
코멘트:
looks like they are going to try hard to get over 14350 on nq but negative bearish divergences are building, one more attempt and failure should exhaust the bulls
코멘트:
last gasp attempt failed, that should be the high for today if we are going lower
코멘트:
if they get another high it will be to take out stops i think. The struggle is similar to a few days ago where they dropped down and then kept making little higher highs only to fail once stops were out.
코멘트:
ok maybe that's it? it's like trying to reel in a marlin
코멘트:
nope small time frame rsi pointing to another high
코멘트:
they still don't look done at this battle line. I'm still thinking they ramp up to get above all the highs of today. Waiting with a small short, I will add if that happens. It's really getting ridiculous. Under 14300 and this will tank hard (NQ)
this is what's forming on NQ, I still favor one more high but it could drop
this is what's forming on NQ, I still favor one more high but it could drop
코멘트:
lost it! waiting for a bounce then I'll add more
코멘트:
i don't love the rsi here. I'm staying little for now. A fake breakdown could really ruin my day.
코멘트:
tricks and traps
코멘트:
5 minute rsi needs to get higher before a fall.
코멘트:
they are going to push it hard to convince bears to drop positions, just wait
코멘트:
here she comes
코멘트:
if you are bullish as I was yesterday, this is looking like a breakout and COULD keep going. Because of the pattern and RSI I don't think so, but I can be wrong for sure. Please tread carefully either way.
코멘트:
RSI reset enough but a little higher makes sense. Adding shorts slowly. WIll drop them for sure above 14400
코멘트:
pushed it hard and close to 14400, shorts taken, Stops tight at 14430, hopefully I'm not wrong but I may be! If correct, the rest of the day is down, If wrong they get over 14400 on NQ
코멘트:
last post till close, If wrong they keep pushing to over 14430 and I will lose. If correct it should sell down from here or maybe a wee bit higher. However, small time frame rsi is showing hidden bearish divergence and we are still forming lower highs. RSI on 30 minute is quite hot for a downtrend, so my logic tells me this is the peak. I will update later regardless if it's correct or not. GOod luck!
코멘트:
bulls trying to hold the yellow line. I took some off in case they hold it but lowered stops for the rest. This is a decision point.
코멘트:
decision made, should start to pick up speed,
코멘트:
NQ in a channel, it's the clearest today for me so that's why I'm trading it. If it breaks the channel it's bearish. Could bounce to the high again and could also breakout so be aware of it.
코멘트:
it could bounce to the high of the channel I mean
코멘트:
broke already, they are starting to panic
코멘트:
still pretty early, target on NQ looks like target may be 4100, not sure. With panic it can go under. Starting to look like this again. www.youtube.com/watch?v=RLySXTIB...
코멘트:
channel now acting as resistance (for now.)
코멘트:
NQ bear flag target 14075, maybe today, not sure.
코멘트:
while we'll probably sell the close, be aware that SPX is in the head and shoulders target area 4100-4050
코멘트:
spy - same thing
코멘트:
if the close is a waterfall down it may be the end of the downtrend. Anything less and I think more selling for a few days next week.
코멘트:
tis count on spy may be valid. I'm going home flat.
코멘트:
tech is actually still positive on the day, I doubt it makes a lower low like SPY
