TanukiTrade

90% win rate ๐Ÿš€ Unveil an easy $GLD Call Play with naked #gold

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TanukiTrade ์—…๋ฐ์ดํŠธ๋จ   
AMEX:GLD   SPDR Gold Trust
Hey everyone, Greg is here with a quick rundown of todayโ€™s options trading play. I entered the ring with a naked call on GLD , aiming for that sweet spot of easy returns on a maximal Pop trade. Todayโ€™s golden ticket could net me a max profit of $118 with a probability of profit (PoP) sitting pretty at 80%, all while tying up $3000 of buying power and riding on an implied volatility rank (IVR) of 20%.

The game plan was simple: watch the market, play it cool, and have a couple of scenarios up my sleeve:

(Scenario A) If the price hikes, I'll pivot to a strangle, balancing out with a sold put to accompany my call.

(Scenario B) If it looks like easy money, Iโ€™ll lock in those gains and close out the current trade, quick and clean.

The strategy is all about simplicity, with an exit plan to bow out gracefully at about 65% of the max profit. As of today, November 5, 2023, that naked call is open and Iโ€™m in the market.

To wrap it up, hereโ€™s the play-by-play for today:

Date: November 5 , 2023
  • Strategy: Naked Call on GLD
  • Opening Credit: $118
  • Expected Profit: Exiting at ~65% of max profit
  • Probability of Profit (PoP): 80%
  • Required Buying Power (Req.BP): $3000
  • Implied Volatility Rank (IVR): 20
  • Current Position Balance (as of opening): $118 of credit (1.18cr)

Stay tuned to see which scenario unfolds and how the tradeโ€™s balance shifts in the coming days. Keep it easy, folks!
์•กํ‹ฐ๋ธŒ ํŠธ๋ ˆ์ด๋“œ:
Yesterday I've almost closed in 50% of max profit (~$60 in 3 days), but today the price bounced, so SCENARIO/A wins, I've transformed the position into high PoP 80% 36DTE strangle.

Not the max profit is $203, the req.Bp. for this 36 days is still $3k, no additional BP required.

The PoP high, 76+% based on my calc. (DYOR!)

I'm expecting about ~$100$ with this position.

๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ฒญ์‚ฐ: ํƒ€๊ฒŸ ๋‹ฟ์Œ:

Winner, the strangle trade has closed for 1.02db and grabbed my $100 gain.
Under 10 days that is 3% of my used Bp with low risk, I like it.

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My Option trade performance, closed trades and analysis:

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