GER30 H1 - Butterfly, ABCD and 61.8% fibo - short?

I think there is short opportunity on DAX (GER30), because

• there is AB=CD
  
• ABCD ends at 61.8% of fibo - statistically correction end at 50-61.8%
  
• downtrend channel - we are on top on this
  
• butterfly waits for its D point :)))
  

Edit :
Actually I did not play this, but valuable lesson was there should be always plan B. And plan B could be simple - after trendchannel breakout wait for pullback, take postition (why wait for pullback? to define short stoploss)