I put together this educational post due to my poor analysis on some GBP pairs last night. Presented pair is GBPUSD. It is important to backtrack and figure out a future solution for a losing trade.
This is an extremely informative and effective time frame strategy especially for this currency. I have presented the major GBP pairs and results from the 2 am and 8 am marks.
2am is a universal pullback time depending on what the trend is. In the case of GBP pairs last night we were in a strong downtrend. As you can observe from the charts, when in a downtrend you can confirm a pullback into continuation by observing the pullback trend prior too 2 am. If we see a consolidating pullback with a 1 am candle that does not sentiment towards a trend reversal you can almost %100 confirm downward trend continuation at 2am. Now if we are in a strong uptrend, reverse the strategy and expect a pullback at at 2am.
* Important Rule: Whether the trend is bullish or bearish, if there is no consolidation prior to the 2 am mark we gauge a continuation to the next major rejection off support/rejection or in the case of GBP pairs, 8 am when the index opens. (I mapped this rule out on GBPUSD chart)
8 am is significant with GBP pairs due to gbpusd index opening. We may see a pullback against the trend depending on the strength of the index which will confirm a continuation or pivot. This strategy can be used nightly offering safer trading by following the trend pattern from these time points. The following charts are results from other GBP pairs.